Turning Challenge into Opportunity 2025
Page 6 of 79 · WEF_Turning_Challenge_into_Opportunity_2025.pdf
Aviation – scaling-up SAF: infrastructure
integration, bottlenecks and future readiness1.1
Introduction
Many commercial aviation stakeholders face an
urgent dual market directive: meet a projected
doubling of passenger demand by 2050 while
delivering on net-zero commitments. Sustainable
aviation fuel (SAF) is widely viewed as one of the
largest decarbonization levers currently available
to aviation. SAF is able to significantly cut lifecycle
emissions compared with conventional Jet-A
kerosene. Yet today, SAF represents less than 0.1%
of global jet fuel supply.2 Several SAF production
facilities have reached final investment decision (FID)
and are now progressing towards construction or
are already producing sustainable fuels.
However, a number of low-carbon fuel projects
across different regions were paused or cancelled
in 2025.3,4 These start/stop developments
underscore the complexities of scaling-up emerging
technologies while maintaining commercial viability.
Bridging that gap from kilotonne-scale pilots to
multi-megatonne production hinges not only
on breakthrough conversion technologies but,
critically, on the infrastructure ecosystem that
moves feedstock to refineries, blends SAF with conventional fuel, certifies quality, stores it safely
and delivers it to aircraft wings. Yet producers and
buyers face challenges across the value chain –
both in the logistics of integrating SAF from gate
to wing and in understanding how renewable
fuel production can be optimally integrated within
existing fuel systems.
While the Forum’s February 2025 report, Financing
Sustainable Aviation Fuels: Case Studies and
Implications for Investment, offers a comprehensive
analysis of the production challenges faced by
suppliers, this chapter examines the distinct
obstacles present at the next stages of the value
chain – specifically, the complexities involved in
scaling-up SAF delivery to aircraft centres, including
both upstream and downstream operations.5
Upstream, feedstock security and availability can
affect the techno-economic feasibility of SAF
production. Downstream, an increasing number
of SAF project developers are facing a range
of challenges when accessing both off-airport
blending and distribution networks and on-airport
storage, quality control and delivery systems. This
results in one clear imperative: the need to unlock
access to infrastructure. <0.1%
proportion of
SAF in global
jet fuel supply
today.
Scaling high-integrity SAF production depends on overcoming barriers related to SAF
blending, storage and transport infrastructure and doing so in a way that complies with
safety and product quality specifications. Restricted access to these critical links in the
supply chain limits competition and increases costs for delivered SAF.
Dan Johnson, Managing Director, World Energy
The complex realities faced by prospective SAF
producers have often been overlooked, as market
conversations tend to focus on SAF availability,
price and policy rather than pragmatic barriers
preventing the deployment of SAF’s full potential.
Following critical conversations with leading SAF
fuel producers, this section aims to amplify their voices and perspectives and highlight
their pivotal role in scaling-up supply. The next
section explores the infrastructure and market
conditions necessary for their success, with an
overview of the upstream SAF supply chain and
a more detailed analysis of the downstream
supply chain. Aviation
contributes
2.5%
of global CO2e
emissions.1
Turning Challenge into Opportunity: Supplier Voices from Heavy-Emitting Sectors
6
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