Climate and Energy Action Plan (CEAP)

CLIMATE TRENDS & PRO JECTIONS | CITY OF ASHLAND, OREGON | FINAL REPORT | 15 Nights above 60°F The range of future changes in the number of nights remaining at or above 60°F in Ashland is 2 to 27 for the 2050s and 3 to 68 for the 2080s (see Table 2); this is the range across all models and both emissions scenarios. The multi -model mean projects an increase of 38 days by the 2 080s under the high emissions scenario compared to the historic baseline (1950 -2005) (see Figure 4). Figure 7. Projections of number of nights over 60°F for Ashland as simulated by 18 downscaled global cli mate models for the historical period (1950 -2005) and future (2006 -2099) under a low (RCP4.5) and high (RCP8.5) greenhouse gas emissions scenario. Solid line and shading depicts the 18 -model mean and range, respectively. The multi -model mean differences for the 2050s (2040 -2069 average) and 2080s (2070 -2099 average) compared to the historical baseline (1950 -2005) are displayed. Ashland # Da ys over 110°F Pr ojectionsDays Histor ical Low (RCP4.5) High (RCP8.5) 2050s 0 days2050s 0 days 2080s 0 days2080s 3 days 036912151821242730 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050 2070 2090 Ashland # Nights abo ve 60°F Pr ojectionsDays Histor ical Low (RCP4.5) High (RCP8.5) 2050s 8 days2050s 15 da ys 2080s 13 da ys2080s 38 da ys 0102030405060708090100 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050 2070 2090