Climate and Energy Action Plan (CEAP)

6 Figure 2 below illustrates modeled emission reductions associated with the changes liste d in Table 4 . The top line represents the business -as-usual scenario. Figure 2. Modeled emission reduction scenario for Ashland. Strategies listed in Table 4 result in an estimated 38% emission reduction compared to the BAU scenario . The table below shows how that reduction breaks down by sector, presented in the order by which actions were integrated into the model: 15% Consumption 13% Energy Efficiency 4% Renewable Energy 1% Transportation 4% Transitioning from Natural Gas to Electricity 38% TOTAL The specific assumptions underpinning the analysis are presented in Table 5 on the following page . These assumptions are based on a perceived reasonable level of improvement across the difference strategies and emission sources . Percentage s are relative to 2015.