Clear Orbit Secure Future 2026
Page 3 of 34 · WEF_Clear_Orbit_Secure_Future_2026.pdf
Foreword
Humanity has never been more interconnected or
data-driven than it is today, and space infrastructure
sits at the heart of this transformation. Satellites
enable global connectivity, power our economies
and underpin the digital systems on which we
depend every day. They provide communications
in disaster zones, deliver tele-education to remote
communities, monitor environmental changes, track
disruptions in global supply chains, support farmers
in managing their crops and keep our navigation
and timing systems running. Over the years, we
have grown heavily reliant on data coming from or
through the satellites orbiting our planet. Yet this
infrastructure is under increasing pressure.
The World Economic Forum and the Centre for
Space Futures have jointly led several community
consultations to assess the escalating risk and
economic cost of space debris, particularly the
growing collision risk it presents over the coming
decade. Through close collaboration with the Saudi
Space Agency and LeoLabs to develop an orbital
population model, and with Novaspace to produce
an economic forecast, this report quantifies the
potential economic impact of space debris on the
global space economy.
Under the most optimistic assumptions, space
debris imposes a significant and growing economic burden on the sector, even while the
current estimated impact may appear temporarily
manageable. The projected cumulative cost
between 2025 and 2035, ranging between
$25.8 billion and $42.3 billion, represents a
business-as-usual scenario, one that assumes
no major debris-generating events occur.
This cost can be viewed as an implicit “tax”
on the global space economy, which will only
rise in the decades to come. If the ambitions
of a rapidly expanding space economy,
encompassing commercial space stations,
large satellite constellations and global satellites
services are to be realized sustainably, urgent
progress is needed in regulation, methodologies,
international collaboration, technology innovation
and investment.
We hope this publication provides the global
space community with valuable insights and
guidance to address this growing challenge.
Ensuring that the benefits of space remain
accessible, reliable and sustainable for all is not
only a technical imperative but a shared global
responsibility. We invite the community to share
their perspectives and feedback as we continue
to shape collective solutions for a safer, more
sustainable orbital environment. Mishaal Ashemimry
Managing Director, Centre for
Space Futures, Saudi ArabiaJeremy Jurgens
Managing Director and
Head of the Centre for Frontier
Technologies and Innovation,
World Economic Forum
Clear Orbit, Secure Future:
A Call to Action on Space DebrisJanuary 2026
Clear Orbit, Secure Future: A Call to Action on Space Debris
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