Fostering Effective Energy Transition 2025
Page 4 of 71 · WEF_Fostering_Effective_Energy_Transition_2025.pdf
Executive summary
In 2024, there were underlying vulnerabilities
across energy supply chains and markets,
combined with record energy demand.
Conflicts disrupted trade flows while surging demand
from electrification, including from artificial intelligence
(AI)-driven data centres, pushed global energy
demand up by 2.2% (the fastest pace in years).
Despite continued expansion of renewables and
improvement in energy efficiency, energy-related
CO2 emissions reached a record high of 37.8
billion tonnes. Clean energy investment grew to
over $2 trillion – double the 2020 levels, but well
below the $5.6 trillion needed annually through
2030. Moreover, annual growth in investment
slowed to 11% – down from 24-29% annually in
the previous three years.
The 2025 Energy Transition Index (ETI) recorded
a 1.1% year-on-year increase in global scores
– over twice the average pace of the past
three years.
The ETI is based on three system performance
dimensions – security, equity and sustainability –
and five enabling dimensions of transition readiness.
System performance improved (1.2% y-o-y), though
this was uneven across its three dimensions. Equity
saw the strongest rebound, nearing pre-COVID-19
pandemic levels, supported by moderating energy
prices and structural subsidy reforms. Sustainability
maintained a steady upward trend as clean energy
use increased. Security, however, stagnated,
constrained by limited diversification, high import
dependence and inflexible power systems in many
countries. Transition readiness, which considers
regulation, infrastructure, education, innovation and
investment capacities, slowed to just 0.8% y-o-y,
well below its 10-year trend.
Overall, 65% of countries improved their ETI scores in
2025, but only 28% simultaneously advanced across
security, equity and sustainability, reflecting uneven
progress. Sweden, Finland and Denmark retained
the top three ranks, reflecting strong infrastructure,
diverse low-carbon energy systems and long-term
policy stability. China’s rank reached an all-time high
of 12th place, driven by strong innovation capacity and
the world’s largest clean energy investment volumes.
The US ranked 17th, due in large part to strong
security and improved sustainability. India advanced
in energy efficiency and investment capacity. Regional dynamics reinforce the multi-speed
nature of the transition.
Emerging Europe and emerging Asia led regional
improvements in transition readiness, but through
distinct pathways. Emerging Europe advanced
most in infrastructure (+8.3%) and education
(+5.8%), while emerging Asia saw gains from
investment (+18.7%) and regulations (+2.6%).
Meanwhile, regions like Sub-Saharan Africa
improved through stronger political commitment
and financial flows – reinforcing the multi-speed
nature of transition readiness.
Global energy systems are under growing pressure
from climate, geopolitical and technological
disruptions. Geopolitical and economic
uncertainties, such as rising trade tariffs, have
highlighted vulnerabilities in supply chains. These
factors could create investment risks and shift
government focus towards more immediate
priorities, slowing progress moving forward.
Adaptive, locally tailored solutions will be crucial
for scaling clean energy while ensuring resilience
and affordability. Accelerating innovation will
be essential, including by fully harnessing the
performance opportunities enabled through AI,
energy efficiency, clean fuels, storage, smart grids
and other methods.
Five priorities stand out for building resilience:
1 Adopt stable, adaptive policy frameworks
to attract long-term capital and cultivate
cooperation.
2 Modernize energy infrastructure – especially
grids, storage and interconnectors.
3 Invest in skilled talent to help boost innovation
and execution capacity.
4 Accelerate clean technology commercialization,
especially in hard-to-abate sectors.
5 Enhance capital investment in developing
economies.
While momentum is improving, many systems
remain vulnerable – reinforcing the need to align
near-term gains with long-term readiness.There is growing progress towards a secure,
equitable and sustainable energy system,
but momentum could stall amid financing
and geopolitical challenges.
Fostering Effective Energy Transition 2025
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