From Wildfire Risk to Resilience The Investment Case for Action 2026

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Putting the pillar into practice TABLE 4 Sample outcome metrics Partners Contracts Policy enablers Environmental (e.g. fuel load reductions, spread potential, water sedimentation risk, biodiversity indicators), economic and financial (e.g. change in EAL)Indigenous nations, community forests, agencies, utilities, insurers and buyers of biomass productsMulti-year prescribed burning/thinning agreements with maintenance service-level agreements (SLAs) offtake contractsPermissions for prescribed fire, land-tenure alignment, cross-border collaboration and stewardship agreements Key takeaways –Treat NbS as infrastructure, fund maintenance and measure co-benefits beyond carbon. –Indigenous stewardship is central for both ecological and social dividends. –Markets for byproducts improve the economics and durability of fuel work. 4.3 Data, technology and governance: coordinated early warning and risk platforms Data and technology are essential to modern wildfire resilience. Every intervention, from home hardening to nature-based interventions and insuring assets, requires reliable and consistent data and information. Yet, data remains fragmented across sectors and often lacks interoperability. Efforts to create an open data system, or “data commons”, are under way, but require broader stakeholder buy-in. Emerging technologies powered by AI, including autonomous drones, cameras and sensors, combined with machine learning (ML) modelling, can integrate climate, vegetation and infrastructure data to better predict ignition potential, assess mitigation impacts, simulate suppression effectiveness and quantify avoided losses. Treating AI and data as investable infrastructure by developing, governing and scaling technology solutions to advance wildfire resilience serves both public safety and capital markets. It’s not just data. We need experts, cloud compatibility and a governed marketplace where sharers set rules Ilkay Altıntaş, Principal, UCSD Wildfire Lab and Alert, University of California, San Diego
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