From Wildfire Risk to Resilience The Investment Case for Action 2026
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Putting the pillar into practice TABLE 4
Sample outcome metrics Partners Contracts Policy enablers
Environmental (e.g. fuel
load reductions, spread
potential, water sedimentation
risk, biodiversity indicators),
economic and financial
(e.g. change in EAL)Indigenous nations, community
forests, agencies, utilities, insurers
and buyers of biomass productsMulti-year prescribed
burning/thinning agreements
with maintenance service-level
agreements (SLAs) offtake
contractsPermissions for prescribed
fire, land-tenure alignment,
cross-border collaboration and
stewardship agreements
Key takeaways
–Treat NbS as infrastructure, fund maintenance
and measure co-benefits beyond carbon. –Indigenous stewardship is central for both
ecological and social dividends.
–Markets for byproducts improve the economics
and durability of fuel work.
4.3 Data, technology and governance:
coordinated early warning and risk platforms
Data and technology are essential to modern
wildfire resilience. Every intervention, from home
hardening to nature-based interventions and
insuring assets, requires reliable and consistent
data and information. Yet, data remains
fragmented across sectors and often lacks
interoperability. Efforts to create an open data
system, or “data commons”, are under way, but
require broader stakeholder buy-in. Emerging technologies powered by AI, including
autonomous drones, cameras and sensors, combined
with machine learning (ML) modelling, can integrate
climate, vegetation and infrastructure data to better
predict ignition potential, assess mitigation impacts,
simulate suppression effectiveness and quantify
avoided losses. Treating AI and data as investable
infrastructure by developing, governing and scaling
technology solutions to advance wildfire resilience
serves both public safety and capital markets.
It’s not just data. We need experts, cloud compatibility
and a governed marketplace where sharers set rules
Ilkay Altıntaş, Principal, UCSD Wildfire Lab and Alert,
University of California, San Diego
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