Source World Economic Forum, Future of Jobs Survey 2024.Share of tasks done predominantly by people today Share of tasks done predominantly by people by 2030Chemical and advanced materialsOil and gas 113% 146%2838 2636 Geoeconomic fragmentation The Future of Jobs Survey asked employers about the impacts of three key geoeconomic trends: increased government subsidies and industrial policy; increased geopolitical division and conflicts; and increased restrictions to global trade and investment. On average, respondents expect these trends to be net job creators. Although projected to be three of the four lowest net job-creating macrotrends – above only slower economic growth – these estimates still equate to 5 million net additional jobs by 2030, most prominently in logistics, security and strategy roles. Increased government subsidies and industrial policy are expected to drive increased demand for Business Intelligence Analysts and Business Development Professionals. Increased restrictions to global trade and investment are also predicted to drive growth in these roles, as well as in Strategic Advisors and Supply Chain and Logistics specialists. Increased geopolitical division and conflicts, meanwhile, are projected to drive growth in all of the aforementioned roles, in addition to Information Security Analysts and Security Management Specialists. The Future of Jobs Survey also asked respondents whether they expected to offshore parts of their workforce, or move operations closer to home through reshoring, nearshoring, or friendshoring. An analysis of the responses to these questions for the subset of employers who expect geoeconomic trends to affect their business provides insight into how these trends affect workforce decisions. Table 2.1 shows the share of employers who expect each geoeconomic trend to transform their business that additionally also expect to offshore or re-shore significant segments of their workforce. All three geoeconomic trends analysed appear to drive more re-shoring, with respondents who expect their business to be transformed by increasing restrictions to global trade and investment 50% more likely to plan to reshore than the global average employer. Employers who expect government subsidies and industrial policy to transform their business, however, are almost as likely to plan to offshore as they are to reshore Impact of geoeconomic trends on off-shoring and re-shoring TABLE 2.1 Share of employers who expect the specified trend to transform their business who plan to ‘off-shore’ or ‘re-shore’ significant segments of their workforce. Off-shore Re-shoring Global Average 8.3 9.5 Increased government subsidies and industrial policy 11.2 12.4 Increased geopolitical division and conflicts 9.3 13.2 Increased restrictions to global trade and investment 8.7 14.5 Source: World Economic Forum, Future of Jobs Survey 2024. Future of Jobs Report 2025 29