Global Economic Futures Competitiveness in 2030 2025

3 This chapter builds on the scenario analysis outlined in Chapter 2 and considers how sectoral exposure and competitiveness may vary across scenarios. Given the uncertainty surrounding both near- and long-term regulatory and geopolitical trends, sector- level implications for strategy could be particularly consequential in the coming years. The purpose of this analysis is not to eliminate uncertainty but to provide a lens for identifying potential vulnerabilities, opportunities and trade-offs – and to inform strategies for navigating them. Table 1 presents a high-level snapshot of potential exposure across 12 sectors. It illustrates how selected enabling and constraining factors may combine under each scenario to generate differing headwinds and tailwinds for sectoral output and competitiveness. The analysis builds on quantitative assessment and draws on consultations with senior industry executives. Further details on the methodology and data sources are available in Appendix A1.3.1 Mapping industry exposureIndustry exposure and implications Exploring how sectors are exposed across the four scenarios provides a lens for identifying key risks, opportunities and strategies. Global Economic Futures: Competitiveness in 2030 19