Global Risks Report 2025

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The global outlook for 2027 is one of increased cynicism among survey respondents, with a high proportion of respondents to the GRPS 2024-25 anticipating turbulence (31%), a four percentage-point increase since last year’s edition (Figure 1.3). There is also a two percentage-point year-on-year increase to 5% in the number of respondents who are anticipating a stormy outlook – the most alarming of the five categories respondents were asked to select from – over the next two years. The top risk for 2027 according to survey respondents is Misinformation and disinformation – for the second year in a row, since it was introducedinto the GRPS risk list in 2022-23. Respondentconcern has remained high following a year of “superelections”, with this risk also a top concern across amajority of age categories and stakeholder groups(Figures 1.6 and 1.7). Moreover, it is becoming moredifficult to differentiate between AI- and human-generated Misinformation and disinformation. AI tools are enabling a proliferation in such information The path to 2027 1.2 Short- and long-term global outlook FIGURE 1.3 Source World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey 2024-2025Short term (2 years)1% Long term (10 years) Stormy : Global catastrophic risks looming Turbulent : Upheavals and elevated risk of global catastrophes Unsettled : Some instability, moderate risk of global catastrophes Stable : Isolated disruptions, low risk of global catastrophes Calm : Negligible risk of global catastrophes"Which of the following best characterizes your outlook for the world over the following time periods?" NoteThe percentages in the graph may not add up to 100% because values have been rounded up/down.11% 52% 31% 5% 17% 45% 30% 8% Global risks ranked by severity over the short term (2 years) FIGURE 1.4 SourceWorld Economic Forum Global RisksPerception Survey 2024-2025"Please estimate the likely impact (severity) of the following risks over a 2-year period." 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th Inequality Involuntary migration or displacement Erosion of human rights and/or civic freedoms Geoeconomic confrontation Pollution 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th Misinformation and disinformation Extreme weather events Societal polarization Cyber espionage and warfare State-based armed conflict Risk categories Economic Environmental Geopolitical Societal Technological Global Risks Report 2025 15
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