Global Risks Report 2025
Page 61 of 104 · WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2025.pdf
and competing spending needs on, for example,
security and defense are likely to constrain the
reach and sustainability of public expenditure
on care systems over the next decade. Without
increased public or blended investment, care
demand will continue to be unmet.
Economies already experiencing this challenge
are resorting to stop-gap measures, including
attracting migrant care workers from other
economies. But if this turns into a talent drain
from countries with more youthful societies, those
countries may then struggle to reap the benefits
of their demographic dividend and will, several
decades from now, run into super-ageing society
challenges of their own.
There will be no easy solutions to this problem
set, given the sustained strength to 2035 of the
two underlying trends generating higher average
dependency ratios, not only across super-ageing
societies, but at the global level: declining fertility
rates and rising life expectancy, though not
necessarily in better health.73Pension crises
Over the next decade the pensions crises and
their implications will start hitting home in super-
ageing societies, as it becomes clear that current
state pension systems were designed for a
much younger demographic with fewer years of
retirement that needed funding. But it is not only
state pension systems that will be struggling.
Many employees are moving from Defined Benefits
to Defined Contribution schemes – putting the
onus on the individual to come up with strategies
for saving over a lifetime. However, for many
people this can be challenging as they may have
insufficient income, lack the requisite financial
understanding,74 or fail to make good early
decisions about savings and retirement.75
As dependency ratios rise, fewer people will be
contributing to employer and private pensions
schemes relative to the number of people whose
retirements need funding, and with the length of
those retirements rising. This will put pressure on
institutional pension funds, some of which may
seek to increase their returns by allocating higher
proportions of their assets to riskier investments,
such as crypto assets, private credit or other
National risk perceptions: Labour and/or talent shortage FIGURE 2.14
Source
World Economic Forum Executive Opinion Survey 2024.Executive Survey Opinion rank of national risks from the question “which five risks are the most likely to pose the biggest threat to your
country in the next two years?”
Rank
1st10th20th30th34th
Global Risks Report 2025
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