Global Risks Report 2025

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Appendix B Global Risks Perception Survey 2024-2025 The Global Risks Perception Survey (GRPS) is the World Economic Forum’s source of original risks data, harnessing the expertise of the Forum’s extensive network of academia, business, government, international organizations and civil society. Survey responses were collected from 2 September to 18 October 2024 from the World Economic Forum’s multistakeholder communities. Updates to the GRPS 2024-2025 The list of 33 global risks included in the survey was updated in 2024 as follows: – One new risk was added in response to observed trends in technological advancements– “Online harms”, defined as the erosion ofpr otection from and/or prevalence of harmful behaviour that poses a digital threat to theemotional or mental health and well-being ofindividuals. Includes, but is not limited to: onlinechild sexual abuse, online harassment andcyber bullying. – In addition: – “Chr onic health conditions” was renamed “Decline in health and well-being” to updateclarity of risk for respondents. – “Inequality or lack of economic opportunity” has been separated out into two separatesocietal risks: “Inequality (wealth, income)”and “Lack of economic opportunity orunemployment”, with “Unemployment”merged with the latter. – “Insuf ficient public infrastructure and services” has been renamed “Insufficientpublic infrastructure and social protections”. – “Cyber insecurity” has been renamed “Cyber espionage and warfar e”, with cybercrime now included as an economic risk within“Crime and illicit economic activity (incl.cyber)”, formerly referred to as “Illiciteconomic activity”. – “Technological power concentration” as a technological risk has been recategorized asan economic risk within “Concentration ofstrategic r esources and technologies”.– “Intrastate armed conflict" has been renamed “State-based armed conflict(pr oxy, civil wars, coups, terrorism, etc.)”, with “Terrorism” no longer a separate riskbut now merged within the definition. Methodology The GRPS 2024–2025 was further refined this year to gather more granular perceptions of risk and to incorporate new approaches to risk management and analysis. To that end, the GRPS 2024–2025 was comprised of seven sections: –Curr ent risk landscape asked respondents to select one risk among 33 pre-selected risks thatthey believe is most likely to present a materialcrisis on a global scale in 2025. The final rank isbased on a simple tally of the number of timesa risk was identified. This has changed from lastyear, when respondents were asked to selectup to five risks among 20 pre-selected risks thatdiffered from the main risk list. The 33 optionsare listed in Appendix A above. Respondentswere also able to write in additional risks toOther, a free-text field. –Short- and long-term risks landscape askedrespondents to estimate the likely impact(severity) of each of the 33 global risks, on a 1-7scale [1 = Low severity, 7 = High severity], overboth two-year and 10-year periods. “Severity”is meant to take into consideration the impacton populations, the economy or environmentalr esources on a global scale. Respondents were also allowed to nominate any other riskconsidered missing from the 33 global risks. Asimple average based on the scores selectedwas calculated. In addition, if a respondentselected the highest severity score (7) for anyof the 33 risks, they were asked a follow-upquestion to identify areas of particular concernwith respect to the identified risk. –Consequences seeks to understand thepotential consequences of risks, to create anetwork map of the global risk landscape.Respondents wer e provided 10 randomly selected global risks (from the full list of 33global risks) and were then asked to selectup to five global risks (from the full list) likelyto be triggered by each of the 10 randomlyselected risks. In the visual results, “Nodes:Risk influence” is based on a simple tally of Global Risks Report 2025 78
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