Global Risks Report 2026
Page 45 of 100 · WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2026.pdf
Share of respondents (%)
Source
World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey
2025-2026Risk categories
Economic Environmental Geopolitical Societal TechnologicalTop risks addressed by Financial instruments (insurance, catastrophe bonds, public-risk
pools), 2026–2036FIGURE 41
"Which approach(es) do you expect to have the most potential for driving action on risk reduction and preparedness over the next 10 years?"
Financial instruments (e.g. insurance, catastrophe bonds, public risk pools)this scenario. With political and national security
considerations dominating economic policy-making,
central banks could see their role shifting away from
a narrow focus on inflation targeting (and in some
cases ensuring labour-market stability) and towards
prioritizing government financing.
This would be associated with significant risks,
as central-bank independence is correlated with
better economic outcomes, including significantly
reducing inflation in the long run.74 In one scenario,
tensions between governments and central bankers
would mount. In another, should central banks
capitulate, the current generation of financial market
participants - having grown accustomed to a world
with independent central banks, particularly in
advanced economies - would have to recalibrate
their thinking around monetary policy, shaking
confidence and economic fundamentals. Such
fundamental change is likely to be associated with
bouts of financial volatility as market participants
price in the changing policy outlook. Over time,
likely pursuit of debt monetization by more politically
beholden central banks would heighten the risk of
sustained inflation, eroding real incomes and leading
to deeper inequality and societal polarization.
Actions for today
To boost long-term economic growth, governments
will need to exercise fiscal prudence and prioritize
more efficient spending, as well as enact structural
reforms to boost productivity and growth.75 At
the same time, taxation adjustments to generate
revenues have already been implemented across many countries. More such measures are likely to
be needed in the coming years to help address
high debt levels and emerging expenditure needs,
including for security and defence, healthcare
and social benefits, and climate change-related
spending. 76
For low-income countries facing liquidity challenges
related to heavy debt burdens, more and better
concessional finance,77 as well as other innovative
financial instruments supported by multilateral
institutions will remain critically important. The
GRPS finds that Debt is the leading risk that can be
addressed by Financial instruments (Figure 41)
One such mechanism is Debt-for-Development
Swaps, financial instruments that allow debt-
encumbered nations to convert sovereign debt
into structured investments in critical economic
sectors. The Global Hub on Debt for Development
Swaps was launched at the Fourth International
Conference on Financing for Development in 2025,
with the aim of enhancing access to debt swaps
and improving their design and execution.78
Governments can also take measures to make
their banking systems more attractive and by
extension more resilient in the face of potential
future global debt or broader financial crises. These
include measures to decrease the proportion of
citizens who are unbanked or enabling faster and
more efficient payments. India’s Unified Payments
Interface provides a good example. Access
can also be improved by upgrading payment
infrastructure, as in the case of Mexico’s Electronic
Interbank Payments System.79
Global Risks Report 2026
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