Global Risks Report 2026
Page 56 of 100 · WEF_Global_Risks_Report_2026.pdf
avalanche of liability claims, and it is plausible that
legislation and regulation will fail to keep pace with
quantum developments, resulting in a loss of faith in
legal or state protection.
The ultimate risk of sudden, mass decryption and
breaking of authentication would be a systemic
collapse of digital trust. Societal implications could
be significant enough to lead to a mass shift away
from the digital world for sensitive services such
as banking or in healthcare, creating enormous
disruption and, perhaps ironically, inefficiency and
a reversal of progress. To the extent that public
services or elections are affected, this could further
deepen mistrust in government institutions and
generate serious societal instability.
Economic flashpoints
Economic impacts would be felt not only in
terms of the costs of increased cyberattacks,
but also from the re-allocation of resources from
productive activities towards protective measures –
particularly if this occurs in a crisis should quantum
breakthroughs occur sooner than expected.
Moreover, with some businesses implementing
quantum-safe cryptography before others, this
could affect supply-chain stability. Trade could be
interrupted if digital signatures are compromised.
Decryption of data in critical financial infrastructure
could lead to significant economic losses.130
However, the economic risks associated with
quantum go beyond cryptography. Quantum
computing could prove too fast and powerful for
some existing systems to handle. Financial markets
are a particular vulnerability, with regulations
generally not yet having been adapted. How, for
example, can regulators hope to observe inside the “black box” that will be portfolio optimization
using quantum computing?131 Trading algorithms,
including high-frequency trading algorithms, will
also become more powerful, complex and faster.132
This might lead to more frequent flash crashes or
market melt-ups, with a heightened need for circuit
breakers to prevent downside market moves that
are too sudden and sharp.133 Confidence in global
finance could be tested if this happens.
Breakthroughs in quantum computing could
also rapidly accentuate economic and industrial
inequalities among countries. Disparities in access
to existing technologies have already created a
digital divide, which is likely to become deeper with
quantum.134 Between 2019 and 2023, China and
the United States together were responsible for
nearly half of the published research in quantum
computing and quantum communications, and
around 40% in quantum sensing and post-quantum
cryptography.135
“Quantum” is set to become a large new industry
in itself, creating a new manufacturing supply
chain, new quantum service business models
(e.g. subscriptions to access quantum computing
time) and generating a new set of high-skilled jobs.
Linkages between this new quantum industry and
all the other industries that stand to benefit would
need to be built. These economic benefits would
accrue mostly in countries where breakthroughs
in quantum technologies take place. While these
countries would experience a “fifth industrial
revolution”, other countries risk being left behind
unless they have strategies for participating in the
quantum economy. Many countries in Sub-Saharan
Africa, Latin America and Asia lack such strategies
for the quantum era.136
In the EOS, executives report perceptions of
Adverse outcomes associated with frontier
Rupixen, Unsplash
Global Risks Report 2026
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