Intergenerational Foresight 2026
Page 8 of 57 · WEF_Intergenerational_Foresight_2026.pdf
Defining
intergenerational
foresight
Foresight supports decision-making in conditions of
uncertainty, where consequences unfold over long
periods and are often difficult to reverse. Rather
than predicting outcomes, it broadens the range
of futures that decision-makers consider, enabling
institutions to test assumptions, identify emerging
risks, and examine how current choices influence
longer-term trajectories.
Intergenerational foresight takes this further by
explicitly integrating responsibility across time
into how foresight is conducted and governed.
It transforms how established tools like horizon
scanning and scenario planning are used, who
participates in them, and how authority is exercised
within the process. Fundamentally, intergenerational
foresight involves multiple generations and
knowledge systems in shared foresight activities
from the start, even before framing problems and
narrowing options.
This approach recognizes that lived experiences,
regional contexts and social and ecological
positions influence how risks are perceived,
strategic insights are generated and change is
understood. Those who will live longest with today’s
decisions often have heightened awareness of
path dependency and irreversible change. When decision-makers exclude these perspectives,
short-term biases limit futures thinking even if it is
nominally oriented toward the long term.
Adopting an intergenerational foresight approach
has practical implications for governance. It
expands participation by broadening definitions
of expertise beyond seniority or proximity to
power. It intentionally reconfigures authority within
foresight processes, redistributing influence over
how participants frame questions, explore futures,
and understand trade-offs. The intergenerational
foresight approach widens decision-makers’ view
of time by highlighting long-term consequences,
intergenerational trade-offs, and future possibilities
alongside immediate performance.
The value of intergenerational foresight lies in
enhancing decision quality, institutional resilience,
and legitimacy. By expanding perspectives and
extending time horizons, it improves the detection
of emerging risks, strengthens consideration of
long-term trade-offs and reduces the risk of future
liabilities going unseen. In contexts where public
trust is declining, it also reinforces legitimacy by
reconnecting authority with long-term consequences,
demonstrating that futures thinking is rooted in both
analysis and responsibility across time.
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Intergenerational Foresight: An Approach for Long-Term Responsibility in Governance
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