Net Zero Industry Tracker 2024 Aviation
Page 3 of 14 · WEF_Net_Zero_Industry_Tracker_2024_Aviation.pdf
Readiness key takeaways
Technology 2 –HEFA and other biofuels are the most advanced, with TRL of 8-10,103 and are already
commercially available.
–Battery-electric and hydrogen fuel cell technologies are in the early prototype stage,
with a TRL of 4-5, and are projected to become commercially viable by 2030.104
Infrastructure 2 –100 MTPA of clean hydrogen, 700 MTPA of CCUS, and 400 MTPA of biofuel are required
by 2050.105
–Efforts are needed to build capacity for SAF, as less than 1%106 of the 2050 SAF
production capacity is currently available.
Demand 2 –Less than 1%107 of current aviation energy consumption comes from low-emissions sources.
–The green premium to produce SAF is estimated to be 2-5 times more expensive than
conventional jet fuel.108
–Identifying more potential feedstocks and diversifying SAF production could be a solution
to meet the demand.
Capital 1 –Industry requires over $5 trillion109 in cumulative investments to achieve net zero
by 2050 (i.e. $179 billion110 annual investment, compared to current CapEx of
$68 billion111 annually)
–Of the investment required by 2050, 52% is for fuel production and 36% is for upstream
renewable electricity generation by the ecosystem.112
Policy 3 –Establishing clear blending mandates, reducing cost differentials, de-risking projects and
increasing SAF usage in public-sector travel are crucial initiatives.
–In 2024, Japan, Brazil, Malaysia and the UK all introduced mandates for SAF entering
into force in the coming years.
Sector priorities
Company-led solutions
Mid-term (by 2030)
–Reduce fuel consumption through air traffic
management (ATM) improvement and
operational efficiencies.
–Scale the use of SAF.Long-term (by 2050)
–Invest in R&D for low-TRL technologies and efficiency
measures to reduce energy demand.
Ecosystem-enabled solutions
Mid-term
–Reduce the cost differential between SAF and fossil
jet fuel (e.g. by direct or indirect subsidies).Long-term
–Develop refuelling/recharging infrastructure for zero-
emission aircraft at key airports.
–Develop CCUS facilities to meet the 2050 demand.
Net-Zero Industry Tracker: 2024 Edition
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