Open but Secure Europe%E2%80%99s Path to Strategic Interdependence 2025
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Strategic interdependence also has implications
for domestic policy. Particularly since the financial
crisis of 2007-2008, the benefits of globalization
have clearly not been shared equally. How do
governments organize migration, the introduction
of novel technologies and a renewed push for
European competitiveness in ways that protect
citizens who ended up on the wrong side of global
interdependence — those who saw their jobs move
overseas and, in certain sectors and geographies,
saw migration drive down wages and strain housing
markets and public services?
On migration, this means drafting a new social
and political compact which takes into account
economic and demographic realities while
maintaining public buy-in. It means keeping open
legal migration channels while continuing to combat
irregular migration. Well-targeted investments in
education and training in migrants’ countries of
origin can build trust and reduce brain drain, while
European universities should collaborate to attract
and retain skilled students and researchers through
pathways to residence and citizenship. Integration
strategies need local-level support and public
engagement, and should apply best practices from
across the continent.
On technology, Europe has long pitched itself as a
regulatory powerhouse, setting important standards
with global reach. But now it finds itself lagging
behind in vital areas like artificial intelligence (AI).
The rise of new big and middle powers reduces
the imperative for the rest of the world to follow
the EU’s digital rules. Achieving both technological
competitiveness and security, and creating European digital champions, will mean placing
research and innovation, science and technology
at the heart of the European economy. It will
also mean cutting red tape, investing in digital
infrastructure and building partnerships with the
rest of the world on semiconductors and rare-earth
extraction and processing.
None of these other forms of strategic
interdependence can be achieved without an overall
drive to restore Europe’s economic dynamism. The
bloc cannot reverse its relative decline compared
with the US and China until it manages to boost
sliding productivity growth. So EU leaders should
focus specifically on encouraging innovation in
pivotal sectors by supporting the development of
an ecosystem of venture capital funds, scaling up
the activities of the European Innovation Council
(EIC) and addressing the fragmentation of Europe’s
innovation financing landscape.
In the following chapters, members of the
High-Level Group on European Strategic
Interdependence of the World Economic Forum
— co-convened by the European Council on
Foreign Relations — will explore in more detail
what strategic interdependence means across six
sectors: foreign policy, defence, climate, migration,
technology and economic competitiveness. They
offer concrete policy proposals for each, together
comprising a roadmap towards a strategically
interdependent future for Europe. Europe cannot
reverse its relative
decline compared
with the US and
China until it
boosts sliding
productivity
growth, so leaders
should focus
on encouraging
innovation in
pivotal sectors.
Open but Secure: Europe’s Path to Strategic Interdependence
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