Reimagining Real Estate 2024
Page 26 of 48 · WEF_Reimagining_Real_Estate_2024.pdf
Resilience, in this context, refers to the capacity
of cities and buildings to withstand and adapt
to a range of unforeseen shocks while preserving
their functionality, safety and cultural identity. This
framework outlines key strategies for enhancing
resilience by future-proofing infrastructure,
promoting adaptive reuse of real estate, and using
digital tools for risk management. By addressing
these challenges, owners can protect the value and
functionality of their assets, and cities can protect
their residents while ensuring long-term sustainability.
Key issues and challenges:
Rapidly evolving demand patterns: Traditional
demand patterns have been upended, making long-
term planning and investment more challenging.
Physical climate risk: The increasing frequency
and intensity of natural disasters and chronic
climate impacts have resulted in subsequent rising
premiums and reduced access to insurance markets.
Broadening and deepening risk spectrum:
The potential for a wide range of shocks, including
public health, fiscal and economic, has only
increased. The variety and severity of these
shocks have made resilience at both the asset
and organizational levels essential. Global fragmentation: An increasingly fragmented
geopolitical landscape that has wide-ranging
impacts, from portfolio construction to supply
chain disruption. Relatedly, investment decisions
are becoming increasingly politicized.
Pace of technological evolution: The proliferation of
digital technologies, including AI, and the uncertainty
around the scale and pace of their adoption can
complicate both use decisions but also planning for
their impact on business operations and demand.
Strategic recommendations:
Resilient capital stacks: Cyclical forces will
inevitably drive shifts in market participants’
access to capital and the resilience of property-
level capital stacks. Combined with systematic
shocks to property performance from evolving
patterns of space use and other determinants of
cash flow, these shifts have the potential to upend
property markets, asset values and the stability of
borrowers and lenders. Ensuring a capital stack,
including a balance of traditional and non-traditional
debt and equity, that can withstand both transitory
or sustained changes in property cash flow and
market values is a critical feature of financial
resilience for properties and portfolios. On the debt
side, measures like higher reserve requirements, 3.3 Resilience
Reimagining Real Estate: A Framework for the Future
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