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2 of 3 Premium Clicks used this month SUBSCRIBE Print + Online Subscriber Activation | Register x Forgot Password | Need an Account? e-edition | subscribe | newsletter | deals Classifieds Jobs Autos Real Estate FEATURED » NEWS NOW Josephine County man arrested on drug, child neglect charges ... Lowriding for a higher cause ... FBI says no booby traps found at Malheur refuge ... Josephine County man arrested on drug, child neglect charges ... Lowriding for a higher cause ... FBI says no booby traps found at Malheur refuge ... SINCE YOU ASKED Since You Asked: Iowa, N.H. don't always predict a final winner Comment MailTribune.com Writer Posted Feb. 11, 2016 at 12:01 AM Posted Feb. 11, 2016 at 12:01 AM » Social News There seems to be a lot of fuss about the voting in Iowa and New Hampshire. How often have the winners there gone on to be president? — Liz N., via email If it didn't feel like an election year before, it certainly does now that the first two contests are out of the way. It's also about the time of year when winners start crowing about their victories while losers try desperately to minimize their defeats, making it tough to discern just how much impact they have beyond front-page headlines. The Iowa caucuses have been marking the beginning of the election season since 1972, and it has a 43 percent success rate predicting Democratic candidates and a 50 percent clip predicting Republican candidates. Although the Iowa caucuses have an impact, Bill Clinton, Jimmy Carter, Ronald Reagan were able to win their party's nomination after losing in Iowa. However, a recent Christian Science Monitor article made the point that no candidate who's finished worse than fourth place has gone on to win the nomination. As for the New Hampshire primary, different pundits have different perspectives on just how critical a win there can be, but many agree that because of the timing and the big media coverage, a win there can have a big impact. According to the book "The Making of the Presidential Candidates" by William G. Mayer, a win there can kickstart a candidate's momentum, and the book claims that, on average, a New Hampshire winner gets about 27 percent more votes in the rest of the primaries. Send questions to “Since You Asked,” Mail Tribune Newsroom, P.O. Box 1108, Medford, OR 97501; by fax to 541-776-4376; or by email to [email protected] . To see a collection of columns, go to mailtribune.com/youasked . We’re sorry, but the volume of questions received prevents us from answering all of them. MailTribune.com Writer Posted Feb. 11, 2016 at 12:01 AM » Comment or view comments Reader Reaction » STAY INFORMED Email NewsLetter Sign Up Today Sign up for our newsletter and have the top headlines from your community delivered right to your inbox. Southern Oregon Directory Featured Businesses Loading... Business Name address Location, ST | website.com Find Southern Oregon Attractions Bars Restaurants Beauty Salons Entertainment Doctors Medical Specialists Contractors Education Lawn Services Lawyers Shopping Travel Tanning Used Cars Wedding Services ▼ Add your business here + Events Calendar Connect with MailTribune.com Facebook Twitter RSS Back to top Reader Services Reader Services Home Subscriptions Subscriber controls Contact us Submissions Photos Events Letters to the editor Corrections Announcements Obituaries Story ideas Since you asked Alerts Email Alerts RSS Feeds Text Alerts Advertise Media Kit Home Products and services Ad rates Advertising contacts Propel Marketing Mail Tribune Daily Tidings The Nickel Shop Our Valley Blogs Mobile Site Stay Informed Email newsletter Sign Up Today Sign up for our newsletter and have the top headlines from your community delivered right to your inbox. Your privacy is important, read our privacy policy. © Copyright 2016 Local Media Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Local Media Group Publications Original content available for non-commercial use under a Creative Commons license, except where noted. MailTribune.com | P.O. Box 1108, Medford, OR 97501