Deutsche Bank Securities Inc Figure 117: Commodity Price Scenario Analv,:;is: ()asks Petroleum Sensitivity Based on Bloomb,;;
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc Figure 117: Commodity Price Scenario Analv,:;is: ()asks Petroleum Sensitivity Based on Bloomb,;;
0
O
0 $1.75 »25
113110 »V $050
110.0 1991 19»
11510 1735 5743
16.10 1779 172.5
1700 $822 ROO
1900 1864 5524
1901 567 5924 FY ISE ESITDA (1 NItitron I
1275 EL» $3.75 14.21 11.711
5003 $071 WI 1010 1091
5707 5714 1722 1730 1737
1750 5755 5706 1773 1781
$714 1102 1/35 $817 140
1135 11143 1883 $141 Red
5131 WO 1507 1934 1912
1552 1340 1547 1855 1933
FY ISE EBITDA(S Nblhon)
6 75 3223 1275 1125 5375
1300 1•40 1147 $156 1163 1170
1400 52.80 1276 1264 $292 $260
15110 1315 146 $411 1421 5429
$600 1577 1535 1542 1550 15.55
17110 1015 1664 1472 1171) 1617
$600 1715 5703 COI 1806 1916
5010 1815 1422 1030 5037 5946
0,10
$4110
1900
1500
1700
1900
1610 NYNEX Gas(/Mich)
1/
4a
3 7,
351
33'
3 Ix
24
7•8 811-). Das If mere)
11.75
13{10 22
5400 1124
151110
5600 1.24
17.10 4.04
1910 314
1900 26 52FY ISE Net Leverage 51 25 11.75
1178 11b3
1527 1515
1439 1444
1500 1573
5695 1702
$824 1$31
16 She
17 78 II 78 13 75 IL» 11.75
• 37 • .8 4a 4 Is 4 Ot
401 397 391 34 1115
1h 37x 34 14 3,4
130 347 34x 33. 3.3.
334 323c 32x 3h 11x
lts 344 34 36 26
294 22:4 116 214 274
FY 16E Net Leverage
13.75
31 47 001
104 704
7b 64
554 504
104 301
2h 34
24 24 $3.25 53.75 54-25 1.75
104 161 1141 164
101 96 96 94.
154x 66 66 434
•9( 4 4.. 42. 46.
301 37x 364 it
36 29. 26 29.
24x* 31x 24. 23. FY ISE FCF (1, Million)
NV ME X .63, Sin< le I
1475 5225 52.75 11.25 5175 1125 54.75
110.0 15142) 15122) t1371) 11161 41591 41531 ($147)
60.0 4155) 111491 41441 4111 4132) 4126 41201
$50.0 11129) 151221 41171 41111 4105) 1199) 4931
»90 4101) 13761 1190) 16141 471) 11721 4911
1701 1174) 4%1 73•10 457, 4611 445) 4301
»0.0 44n ,541, 138, 4301 .174, 7115) <S123
110.0 .515 ,59. 41. Si 13 04 Sr
FY 16E FCF (S Millionl
NYMEN G..75 (1107
33 11 is 0.26 12.75 UM $175
130.0 i 5317. .13301 43311 4324) 113111
140 0 4337. 4224) (12111 113191 IØ1)1
1401 l$117) 151C0) (1112) f$941 11031
900 47) 14 513 WI $29
1701 5113 020 1128 $134 1143
MO 0 5773 5:35 1743 1251 124
670 0 5'....4 ,4$1 :. J.., ' 71
FY ISE DebtlProved Reserve: IS/Mehl
NYMEX Gas (Vmcit) 25 54.75
123011
4150)
11791
$35
5151
126
$103 43011
(SIM)
471)
544
1159
1374
1390
II .O v.93 i2.75 11.25 $175 14.25 14.71
130.0 1:1 l21 121 121 121 521 111
1140.0 121 121 121 521 120 120 120
$140 120 520 520 120 520 120 120
MOM 120 120 120 120 $20 $20 120
1700 120 120 120 120 120 $20 120
10.0 120 120 120 120 520 520 120
00.0 120 120 320 $19 S19 519 119
FY I6E Debt:Proved Reserves
ISYNNESCes!sins7,)
0.95 52.25 52.75 13.25 1175 11.25 1475
5300 $33 123 $21 $23 $23 $23 $23
$40.0 122 123 122 122 123 112 $11
150.0 121 $21 121 521 121 921 $21
$40.0 120 $20 520 120 520 120 519
$70.0 111 11.9 $1.9 119 519 11.9 51.6
$10.0 III 111 511 $11 II 6 $16 517
»3.0 $1.7 S17 51.7 11.7 I17 510 $10
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CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
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