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Flock
Topic flock-cameras
Confidence: STRONG
5 of 6 tiers have recent data.
○ polls
✓ outcomes
✓ social
✓ audience
✓ narrative
✓ forecast
⚖️ Media vs Public — mild divergence
last 30d · updated Oct 18
Mainstream media
-0.28
30 articles
vs
The public (social)
+0.06
124892 posts · L +0.06
The sentiment gap here is mild and not inverted — mainstream coverage lands at -0.28 while public posts sit at +0.06, meaning both are close to neutral but media leans slightly more negative. What the gap shows is that editorial framing in major outlets is running cooler on Flock than the organic public conversation, likely driven by coverage of the MapQuest surveillance-layer story (flagging Flock cameras on user routes), which is a legitimately critical angle on the company's license-plate-reader network. What it does not show is that the public is uninformed or that media negativity is wrong — the surveillance concern is documented and substantive, and the public's mild positivity may reflect different use-case awareness, geographic variation in how Flock is deployed, or simply that most public posts aren't engaging the privacy angle at all. The sample headlines are also a noisy mix — several (Zelenskyy, ICE, vehicle attack) appear to be co-occurring news rather than Flock-specific coverage, which means the -0.28 media score may be diluted by context bleed rather than representing a concentrated editorial position on Flock itself. Worth watching if the surveillance-layer story develops further regulatory or legal documentation, at which point the gap could widen and become more meaningful.
Sentiment −1…+1 (VADER) —
not truth. A gap means coverage and public mood point different directions, not that either is right.
See all gaps →
Tier 2 — Pollster readings (0)
No polls linked to this topic yet. Admin can link polls via the topic-management UI.
Tier 0 — Outcomes (0)
No outcomes recorded yet for this topic. Operator records outcomes at /admin/pollster-outcomes as elections, votes, and events resolve.
Tier 5 — Latent forecasting (the Clif-High layer)
Modal-language intensity + attention momentum + Wikipedia pageview signal. Predictive, not descriptive — what these signals suggest is coming.
Attention momentum (last 3d vs prior 3d)
-38.9%
FALLING
Cooling sharply (-38.9% vs prior 3 days). Topic likely past its peak.
Modal-language intensity (current day)
Hits per 1,000 words. Delta is 7d-vs-prior-7d change. Rising fear/dread/urgency + falling certainty/complacency = typical "crisis warm-up" pattern.
Wikipedia pageview signal —
Flock
Avg 96 views/day · 3d-vs-prior-3d momentum:
-7.0%
Pageview spikes typically precede mainstream-coverage spikes by 1-3 days.
Tier 4 — Mainstream narrative coverage
VADER sentiment over 30 recent articles from operator-curated mainstream sources. This is what the major outlets are telling readers about this topic.
Average sentiment
-0.29
VADER compound · 30 articles
Source mix
ABC News: 11 · -0.74
Bloomberg: 7 · +0.03
Financial Times: 4 · -0.21
The Hill: 6 · -0.21
CNBC: 2 · +0.69
Recent mainstream coverage
ABC News · 2026-10-18 ·
+0.92
ABC News · 2026-10-18 ·
-0.99
Bloomberg · 2026-10-18 ·
+0.95
Bloomberg · 2026-10-18 ·
+0.30
ABC News · 2026-10-18 ·
-0.99
ABC News · 2026-10-18 ·
-1.00
Bloomberg · 2026-10-18 ·
-0.93
Financial Times · 2026-10-18 ·
+0.17
Tier 3 — Prediction markets (20)
Money-on-the-line probabilities. When market price diverges > 10pts from the poll average, somebody is wrong.
| Platform |
Question |
YES probability |
Volume |
Captured |
|
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027? |
22% |
$1,404 |
2026-10-19 01:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027? |
10% |
$2,300 |
2026-10-19 01:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? |
0% |
$545,639 |
2026-10-19 01:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027? |
62% |
$1,493 |
2026-10-19 01:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO in 2025? |
0% |
$494,517 |
2026-10-19 01:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO by June 30, 2027? |
22% |
$1,404 |
2026-10-19 00:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2027? |
10% |
$2,300 |
2026-10-19 00:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2027? |
61% |
$1,493 |
2026-10-19 00:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? |
0% |
$545,639 |
2026-10-19 00:15 |
↗ |
| polymarket |
Kraken IPO in 2025? |
0% |
$494,517 |
2026-10-19 00:15 |
↗ |
Tier 1 — Social (paired, never merged)
Sentiment (avg compound, −1 to +1) split by platform political coding. Profoundd never merges left-coded and right-coded sources into a single number.
Left-coded platforms (BlueSky, r/politics, r/news…)
+0.06
avg VADER compound · 128081 posts
Sample left-coded posts
bluesky ·
+0.30
How Chicago, New York and Seattle are funding transit projects amid tough times - h/t Smart Cities Dive
link ↗
bluesky ·
+0.30
How Chicago, New York and Seattle are funding transit project amid tough times - h/t Smart Cities Dive
link ↗
bluesky ·
+0.46
No! Photo can Know Smart cities
link ↗
bluesky ·
+0.51
As it should be I am Lagos Expand for Smart cities Anxiety .
link ↗
bluesky ·
+0.40
Smart Cities #World: #Columbia modernises #City’s utility infrastructure - https://kensbookinfo.blogspot.com/p/end-of-line.html#SmartCity36727492
link ↗
bluesky ·
-0.64
What kind of savage puts peas in mac and cheese?!?!
link ↗
Sample right-coded posts
Tier 6 — Profoundd audience signal
Your readers' signal, not American public opinion. Last 30 days.
Operator note: Track public sentiment regarding the expanding surveillance state and flock cameras.