Morning Consult
Bias score 5 (538-rated)
House effect (12mo)
no outcomes yet
RMSE (12mo)
—
538 grade
1.90
538 bias ppm
-0.90
Total polls
96
Recent polls (20)
| Date | Race | State | Method | Sample | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/10 - 8/16 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | LV | 29719 | +4.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | RV | 2200 | +5.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | Trump Job Approval (2nd Term) | US | RV | 2200 | -14.0 |
| 8/10 - 8/16 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | LV | 29719 | +4.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | RV | 2200 | +5.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | Trump Job Approval (2nd Term) | US | RV | 2200 | -14.0 |
| 8/10 - 8/16 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | LV | 29719 | +4.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | RV | 2200 | +5.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | Trump Job Approval (2nd Term) | US | RV | 2200 | -14.0 |
| 8/10 - 8/16 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | LV | 29719 | +4.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | RV | 2200 | +5.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | Trump Job Approval (2nd Term) | US | RV | 2200 | -14.0 |
| 8/10 - 8/16 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | LV | 29719 | +4.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | RV | 2200 | +5.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | Trump Job Approval (2nd Term) | US | RV | 2200 | -14.0 |
| 8/10 - 8/16 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | LV | 29719 | +4.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | RV | 2200 | +5.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | Trump Job Approval (2nd Term) | US | RV | 2200 | -14.0 |
| 8/10 - 8/16 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | LV | 29719 | +4.0 |
| 8/28 - 8/30 | 2026 Generic Congressional Vote | US | RV | 2200 | +5.0 |