AI in Strategic Foresight 2025
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Executive summary
Innovations in AI have opened the door to
possible future scenarios that would have been
unthinkable just a few years ago. The technology
affects decision-makers around the world, and
perhaps none more than practitioners of strategic
foresight – the field where experts explore multiple
plausible futures and develop strategies to help
organizations, governments and others prepare
for events to come. To evaluate AI’s impact on
strategic foresight, this white paper presents the
results of a survey of 167 foresight experts from
55 countries, drawn from the World Economic
Forum’s Global Foresight Network, the OECD
Government Foresight Community and the Dubai
Future Foundation.
The results show that a majority of foresight
practitioners now use AI in their work. Practitioners
report that the technology is useful for essential
elements of foresight such as trend analysis,
future scenario development and identification of
emerging themes and issues. Experts primarily
value AI for saving time, saying it streamlines their
work by handling repetitive and labour-intensive
tasks. Respondents also appreciate AI’s ability to
process and analyse large datasets, uncovering
trends and insights that would be difficult or time-
consuming to identify manually.
However, the survey reveals diverging opinions
in the field about the technology’s usefulness,
accessibility and reliability. Many respondents express concerns about the quality and
trustworthiness of AI-generated content, noting
that it is prone to hallucinations, operates without
transparency and can produce biased results. AI is
also reported to have limited capacity for inductive
reasoning, as the technology draws from existing
knowledge and struggles to embrace the forward-
looking perspectives needed for strategic foresight.
The survey also highlights gaps in how AI
technologies are seen by practitioners in the public
and private sectors, academia and civil society, with
those in the private sector feeling most confident
in their abilities to use AI in their strategic foresight
work. Furthermore, respondents say that in some
cases – for example with public sector workers
operating under data security and confidentiality
restrictions – a lack of established AI usage
guidelines can hamper foresight practitioners’ ability
to fully realize the opportunities AI can offer.
This white paper includes recommendations to take
advantage of areas where AI can augment foresight,
and to limit its potential pitfalls. These include
increasing AI literacy among the global foresight
community and encouraging experimentation to
move beyond simple use cases of the technology.
AI tools can help supplement – but not replace –
human efforts in the field of strategic foresight, with
AI handling tasks such as data processing and initial
drafts, thereby freeing up time for experts’ higher-
level analysis, interpretation and critical thinking. AI’s intersection with strategic foresight
offers both opportunities and challenges.
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