Global Economic Futures Productivity in 2030 2025

Industry exposure and implications3 Exploring sectoral exposure to technology and human capital dynamics highlights headwinds and tailwinds that will shape the business landscape. 3.1 Mapping industry exposure The scenarios outlined in Chapter 2 highlight four stylized pathways for the future of technology, human capital and productivity. Each of these futures has the potential to reshape sectors and disrupt individual businesses. The purpose of the scenario analysis is not to predict where the world will be in 2030 but to help understand and navigate the trends, dynamics and uncertainties that will confront businesses, policy-makers and other actors in the years ahead. This chapter builds on the analysis underpinning the scenarios by considering how different sectors may be affected. Table 1 contains a high-level snapshot of potential exposure across 12 sectors. The idea is not to suggest which scenario is more likely or desirable in each sector but to explore how a range of enabling and constraining factors may combine across the scenarios to generate differing headwinds and tailwinds for corporate output and profitability. This allows for an assessment of the opportunities and risks associated with different futures that businesses can use to inform their strategies. The analysis relies on quantitative assessment and consultations with subject matter experts. Further details on data and methodology are available in Appendix A1. Global Economic Futures: Productivity in 2030 17