Intergenerational Foresight 2026
Page 6 of 57 · WEF_Intergenerational_Foresight_2026.pdf
Introduction
Strategic foresight has become an established
capability for navigating uncertainty. Tools such
as scenario planning, horizon scanning and
systems analysis have strengthened organizational
preparedness across contexts ranging from
technological disruption to climate risk and
geopolitical instability.
Yet the scale and persistence of today’s challenges
are testing the limits of existing foresight practice.
Many of the most consequential decisions
currently being made will shape social, economic
and ecological conditions for decades, often in
ways that are difficult to reverse. Infrastructure
investments, climate and energy transitions, digital
governance architectures and demographic policies
generate long-term effects that extend well beyond
the time horizons within which decisions are
authorized and evaluated.
Under these conditions, a gap has emerged
between the temporal reach of decisions and the
structures that inform them. While foresight tools
can model long-term impacts, the processes that
shape how futures are imagined often remain
constrained by short-term incentives, institutional
silos and narrow assumptions about whose
knowledge and perspectives are relevant. As
a result, foresight risks becoming an analytical
exercise detached from deeper questions of
responsibility, legitimacy and consequence.
This challenge is not solely about technical
capacity. It reflects a deeper issue regarding the
distribution of authority over the future and the
understanding of responsibility across time in decision-making systems. When decision-makers
with little exposure to long-term consequences
dominate futures thinking, they overlook important
signals, underestimate risks and prematurely close
off options.
Our work is grounded in a simple premise: the
distribution of authority within decision-making
processes directly shapes the futures we can
imagine, assess and design. Decisions encode
assumptions about whose interests matter,
which risks are acceptable and which futures
are considered plausible. Without meaningful
engagement from future-oriented perspectives,
including younger generations, communities with
long-term risk exposure and knowledge systems
grounded in stewardship and continuity, foresight
loses both depth and legitimacy.
Intergenerational foresight addresses this challenge
by extending foresight across time, geography
and experience. This evolution is already taking
shape, as global governance debates are
institutionalizing, with actors exploring ways
to give future generations a clearer standing
in policy design, oversight and long-term
accountability. Intergenerational foresight does
not reject existing methodologies; it builds upon
them, redirecting their application towards more
inclusive, accountable and future-fit governance.
By embedding multiple generations into shared
decision-making authority and equipping them with
the tools to succeed, intergenerational foresight
helps institutions surface weak signals earlier,
challenge entrenched assumptions and navigate
uncertainty with greater credibility.
Intergenerational Foresight: An Approach for Long-Term Responsibility in Governance
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