Making the Green Transition Work for People and the Economy 2025

Inclusive green adopters: High-income, service-driven economies making significant strides in reducing emission intensity through available green technologies while ensuring economic equityGrowth economies: Rapidly industrializing emerging economies with growing energy demand, balancing climate mitigation with socio-economic development Fossil fuel exporters: Economies heavily reliant on fossil fuel rents and subsidized energy consumption, resulting in high emission intensity Green developers: Highly-industrialized and technologically-advanced countries leading in green technologies and business modelsEmerging green adopters: Upper-middle and high-income economies with significant industrial employment transitioning to innovation-driven economic models Frontier economies: Low-income countries with large youth populations and low emissions per capita, in need of investing in the foundations for sustainable long-term growthThe following sections build on these findings and explore how socioeconomic risks and competitiveness challenges related to the green transition vary across six country archetypes, developed by the World Economic Forum’s Equitable Transition Initiative, 38 that share similar structural characteristics relevant to making the green transition work for people and the economy, beyond income levels (Figure 11). 39 These findings reflect responses to the World Economic Forum’s Executive Opinion Survey, where respondents were asked, “In your country, how will decarbonization and green transition actions impact the economy?”. 40 The analysis of each archetype is complemented by short summaries for G20 countries and the 10 most populous economies in the world. World Economic Forum equitable transition country archetypes FIGURE 11 Source: World Economic Forum. (2024). Accelerating an Equitable Transition: A Data-Driven Approach. https://www.weforum.org/publications/accelerating-an- equitable-transition-a-data-driven-approach/. Making the Green Transition Work for People and the Economy 17