mobilizing capital to scale responsible expansion of crop livestock in brazil
Page 24 of 27 · WEF_mobilizing_capital_to_scale_responsible_expansion_of_crop_livestock_in_brazil.pdf
BOSTON CONSULTING GROUP 23
Price riskThe long-tenors are not suitable for traditional
commodity price hedging for the whole period of
financing. The involvement of the whole supply chain
to work on a long-term pricing agreement is unlikely
in the short term but can be worked on. More
realistically, including some buffer of commodity
collateral in the economics of the transaction to
absorb downward price variation can mitigate the risk
Unsold production riskLong-term offtake contracts can mitigate this risk,
even though in the commodity market the question
is more about price rather than existence of a buyer.
However, long-term offtake contracts can (i) foster a
stronger commitment of the producer in repaying the
loan as it involves a commercial partner, (ii) reduce
operational risk as offtakers can repay directly the
lenders, and (iii) provide a better overall visibility
Socio-environmental risk associated with
the expansion on degraded pastures
(biodiversity, water, soil, social impact on
rural communities)These risks can be measured, and mitigation
actions can be adapted thanks to a thorough socio-
environmental risk mapping prior to expansion of
culture
Innovative financing with lack of track
recordThese specific long-term financings for small and
medium producers may not be well-developed,
but the Brazilian financial market is already highly
experienced in financing agribusiness and managing
the associated risk
Reputational risk in case of conflict with
local communitiesA thorough due diligence of land tenure is a must for
this kind of financing. However, this risk is inherent to
the Brazilian reality, and consultation with local civil
society organizations can also be a mitigator
Non-compliance by producers of some
zero-conversion commitmentBrazil has state-of-the-art satellite monitoring that
allows for nearly daily follow-up. Producers should
be clearly communicated about this system and the
pre-established consequences in case of covenant
breaches
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