Monitoring the Future: A Cohort-Sequential Panel Study of Drug Use, Ages 19-65

NIH Pandemic-Era Grants

Pandemic Era Grants

2024

Document text

Principal Investigator: Megan E. Patrick
Organization: UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR
Fiscal Year: 2024
Award: $2,675,194
Funding agency: National Institute on Drug Abuse

ABSTRACT
This application is for a 5-year continuation of the national longitudinal panel data collections of the Monitoring
the Future (MTF) study, an ongoing epidemiological and etiological substance use research and reporting project
begun in 1975 (N~120,000, 1976-2027). In addition to being a basic research study, MTF has become one of the
nation's most relied upon sources of information on trends in illicit drug, alcohol, and nicotine/tobacco use
among adolescents and young, middle, and older adults in the United States. This MTF Panel application seeks
to continue the longitudinal (web-based) surveys of nationally representative samples of high school students
(modal age 18) at modal ages 19–30, 35, 40, 45, 50, 55, 60, and now 65. The companion MTF Main application
covers in-school data collections of nationally representative samples of 8th, 10th, and 12th grade students and
funding for cross-sectional and longitudinal data analysis. The Main and Panel components together comprise
the integrated MTF study. MTF's broad measurement covers (a) initiation, use, and cessation for over 50
categories and subcategories of licit and illicit drugs, including symptoms of substance use disorders; (b)
attitudes and beliefs about substances, perceived availability, and peer norms; (c) individual risk and protective
factors (e.g., depressive affect, pro-social activities); (d) aspects of key social contexts (e.g., home, work), and
social role statuses and transitions; (e) health, social, and achievement consequences; and (f) risk and protective
behaviors related to the spread of HIV/AIDS. The cohort-sequential longitudinal design permits the
measurement of factors that may explain historical trends and cohort differences. MTF Panel is designed to
document the developmental course of drug use and related attitudes from adolescence through adulthood (ages
18-65), and to determine the predictors and consequences of drug use across the life course. Research on risk
and protective behaviors for the transmission of HIV/AIDS will be a focus, extending the age of monitoring to
those aged 19 to 30. Substance use by college status will continue to be tracked, totaling 45 years of annual trend
data comparing college students and non-college young adults in the U.S. The long-term follow-up will now
include data at age 65 among cohorts who were in high school during historic peaks in teen substance use and
are now facing declining health decades later. Results will continue to elucidate drug use from adolescence
through adulthood—including the use of new drugs and modalities—with important implications for national
policy, research, prevention, and treatment agendas. As our nation sees increases in adolescent and adult vaping
and marijuana use, the need to understand trends in use from adolescence to adulthood and consequences on
health, well-being, and work and family life has never been greater.

Terms: <10th grade><12-20 years old><12th grade><21+ years old><8th grade><AIDS Virus><AIDS/HIV><Achievement><Achievement Attainment><Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome Virus><Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome Virus><Active Follow-up><Address><Adolescence><Adolescent><Adolescent Youth><Adult><Adult Human><Affect><Age><Alcohol Chemical Class><Alcohol Drinking><Alcohol consumption><Alcohols><Annual Reports><Attitude><Basic Research><Basic Science><Behavior><Belief><COVID-19><CV-19><Cannabis law><Cannabis policy><Categories><Causality><Cessation of life><Cohort Effect><Communities><Companions><Coronavirus Infectious Disease 2019><Data><Data Analyses><Data Analysis><Data Collection><Death><Deposit><Deposition><Development><Developmental Course><Drug Prescribing><Drug Prescriptions><Drug usage><Drugs><Drunk driving><Education><Educational aspects><Educational workshop><Emotional Depression><Epidemiology><EtOH drinking><EtOH use><Ethnic Origin><Ethnicity><Etiology><Event><Family><Family member><Funding><Future><Gender><Generation Effect><Goals><Grant><HIV><HIV/AIDS><Health><Heterogeneity><High School Student><Home><Human Immunodeficiency Viruses><Illicit Drugs><Individual><Injections><Investigators><Knowledge><LAV-HTLV-III><Legal><Life><Life Cycle><Life Cycle Stages><Literature><Long-term Follow-up><Long-term trends><Longer-term trends><Longerterm trends><Longitudinal trends><Longterm Follow-up><Longterm trends><Lymphadenopathy-Associated Virus><Measurement><Medical><Medication><Modality><Monitor><Morbidity><Morbidity - disease rate><NIDA><NIH><NIH RFA><National Institute of Drug Abuse><National Institute on Drug Abuse><National Institutes of Health><Needle Sharing><Nicotine><Occupational><On-Line Systems><Online Systems><Pattern><Personal Satisfaction><Persons><Pharmaceutical Preparations><Policies><Population><Prevalence><Prevention><Race><Races><Random Allocation><Random Selection><Reporting><Request for Applications><Research><Research Personnel><Researchers><Risk><Risk Behaviors><Risk Factors><Risky Behavior><Role><Sampling><Schools><Secondary School Student><Secondary Student><Sex Behavior><Sexual Activity><Sexual Behavior><Social Environment><Source><Students><Subcategory><Subgroup><Substance Use Disorder><Survey Instrument><Surveys><Symptoms><Syringe Sharing><THC co-use><THC use><Teen><Teenagers><Tetrahydrocannabinol co-use><Tetrahydrocannabinol use><Tobacco Consumption><Tobacco use><Training><Transmission><United States><United States National Institutes of Health><Virus-HIV><Work><Workshop><active followup><addiction><addictive disorder><adolescence (12-20)><adult youth><adulthood><age associated alterations><age associated changes><age correlated alterations><age correlated changes><age dependent alterations><age dependent changes><age related alterations><age related changes><age specific alterations><age specific changes><aged><ages><alcohol impaired driving><alcohol influenced driving><alcohol ingestion><alcohol intake><alcohol product use><alcohol use><alcoholic beverage consumption><alcoholic drink intake><alterations with age><at risk behavior><cannabis regulation><cannabis use><cannabis use law><cannabis use policy><causation><changes with age><cohort><college><college student><collegiate><coronavirus disease 2019><coronavirus disease-19><coronavirus infectious disease-19><data archive><data archives><data interpretation><depression symptom><depressive><depressive symptoms><design><designing><developmental><disease causation><drug use><drug/agent><drunken driving><eighth grade><epidemiologic><epidemiological><ethanol consumption><ethanol drinking><ethanol influenced driving><ethanol ingestion><ethanol intake><ethanol product use><ethanol use><experience><follow up><follow-up><followed up><followup><high school><high school senior><high school sophomore><high schoolers><homes><improved><indexing><juvenile><juvenile human><life course><long-term followup><longitudinal data set><longitudinal dataset><longitudinal design><longterm followup><marijuana law><marijuana policy><marijuana use><medication prescription><mortality><new drug treatments><new drugs><new pharmacological therapeutic><new therapeutics><new therapy><next generation therapeutics><novel drug treatments><novel drugs><novel pharmaco-therapeutic><novel pharmacological therapeutic><novel therapeutics><novel therapy><older adult><older adulthood><online computer><peer><prescribed medication><programs><protective behavior><protective factors><racial><racial background><racial origin><recruit><research study><sex activity><sexual activities><social><social climate><social context><social role><socio-economic><socio-economically><socioeconomically><socioeconomics><socioenvironment><socioenvironmental><substance misuse><substance use><substance use and disorder><substance using><teen years><teenage><tenth grade><tobacco product use><tobacco products><transmission process><trend><twelfth grade><university student><vaping><web based><well-being><wellbeing><young adult><young adulthood>