18 October 2016
18 October 2016
REITs
US REIT 3016 Earnings Preview
F inure id r.
VNO
Brings
FfOrsh
FFCIsn ad,usted for comparabtly
Operating Mitts
NYC occupancy iprerata, signed'
q/g ch
NYC office rent spread (cash, pro-rata. signed)
NYC dice SS EBITDA leash. pro-rata)
DC occupancy rpro-rata. signed)
oh, ch
DC once rent spread (cash. pro-rate. sgnedi
DC office 55 EBITDA )cash, DIC:03131
Note: consensus estimates are based on Thomson compiled data as of I 0/14/16
• VNO, along with 2 partners, won the bid fo he Farley building redevelopment. Update on RFP process for the
Penn Station redevelopment
• Sales update at 220 Central Park South, with management noting during the 2Q call increased activity following
a period of slowdown
• Update on the potential spin off of the Washington business
Update on the Skyline properties, with VNO in negotiation with special services per the 20 call
Update on leasing pipeline, which stood at over I msf per the 20 call
• We are updating estimates to reflect recently announced financing activity. Our 2016 FFO/sh estimate moves to
$4.88 from $4.84, while FAD moves to $2.70 from $2.66. For 2017, our FFO estimate moves to $5.55 from $5.43
while FAD moves to $3.79 from $3 67 Please see Figure 98 for a summary of our estimate revisions 3016
Actual
Si 25
SI 24
Actual
96 20%
-30bp
24.7%
-0.3%
84 70%
-10bp
-46%
-94% 2018
Actual
SI 21
SI 23
Actual
9600%
-20bp
21.7%
59%
84 00%
430top
-67%
-2 5% 3016
AMA' 08s Cons
SI 25 SI 27
St 77
Actual DEN
96 00%
obp
15.0% cornmerced
85.00%
100bp
-5.0% commenced 2018
Pre 30 Guido Post 30 Guido DEN Cons
54 68 S4.8:
5.4 94
Pro 30 Guido Post 30 Guide DEN
96 00%
-404, yty
20 0% commenced
8600%
4 8% commenced
Sown, anitict• Bank canonises Theruon
iFigure 77: Kid's 3016 results
• Management's plans to bridge the value gap
• Impact from Brexit on assets in the UK, specifically, and more broadly in Europe
• Management expectations for the pace of investment activity through 2016
Update on the acquisition pipeline in the US and Europe, and the disposition pipeline in the US. KW announced
-$400MM of acquisitions and $207MM of dispositions in the multifamily portfolio in 30
Update on multi-family demand and fundamentals in West Coast markets
Update on the company's leasing efforts of its SoCal commercial portfolio
• Development pipeline progress and impact on NOI
Update on the KW and KWE (KWE.LON: DB Hold rated, 1002GBp by Oliver Reiff) share repurchase programs
504000 Dandy Bent convey aids
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