Clear Orbit Secure Future 2026
Page 23 of 34 · WEF_Clear_Orbit_Secure_Future_2026.pdf
Conclusion
A safer and more sustainable space environment is
essential for all stakeholders, from established space
powers and large corporations to emerging nations
and start-ups. This insight report’s economic analysis
illustrates that the cost of maintaining the status quo
already carries material cost: up to $42.3 billion in
cumulative expected losses in 2025–2035, driven
primarily by service disruptions and operational
inefficiencies. The projections reflect a business-as-
usual scenario informed by historical data, in which
no major debris-generating events are expected
under present operating patterns. A deviation from
this trend – for example, a large-scale collision or
fragmentation event – would drive losses far beyond
current estimates.
The path forward depends on a shared commitment
among all space actors to ensure the long-term
sustainability of the orbital environment. Operators
should increase transparency in manoeuvre planning
and adhere to effective methods for post- mission disposal. Launch providers should commit to
controlled re-entries and end the practice of
abandoning upper stages in congested orbits.
Regulators, in turn, need to embed international best
practices in domestic law through licensing conditions
and encouraging financial incentives that reward
sustainable behaviour, where feasible and appropriate.
Ultimately, this report defines a clear decision point for
the global space sector: continue with a business-as-
usual approach that imposes a debris-caused tax on
the entire space economy and dependent sectors or
invest now in a more sustainable framework for how
space actors manage and operate within Earth’s orbital
environment. Choosing the latter offers an opportunity
to shift from a reactive posture to a proactive strategy
that combines preventative measures, economic
incentives and international collaboration to ensure that
humanity continues to benefit from space infrastructure
for generations to come.
Clear Orbit, Secure Future: A Call to Action on Space Debris
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