Climate Foresight 2025

how the systemic, long-termist ethos of climate foresight can overcome current issues of integrity and equity in VCMs, through the four levers for transformative change necessary for futures intelligence and climate foresight (Spitz and Zuin 2021): 1. AAA Framework 2. Effective Systemic Change 3. Transformation vs. Point Solutions 4. Virtuous Inflection Points Spitz and Zuin (2021) developed these four levers to generate a suite of heuristics that enable systems ch ange a s applied to complex challenges such as climate, technology and social entrepreneurship. This is an antidote to linear and parochial thinking. These are outlined in Figure 1. Figure 1 - The 4 Levers for Transformative Change (Spitz and Zuin 2021) Climate Foresight: Transforming the Voluntary Carbon Markets, by Roger Spitz & James Balzer 10 © Disruptive Futures Institute, March 2025