Climate Foresight 2025

Figure 8 - Stakeholder Analysis Matrix (adapted from Cairns and Wright 2018) Kahane (2018) posits that robust systems thinking allows relevant stakeholders to transform in four ways: ●New Understandings provide insight into methods, problems, and solutions. ●Relationships cohere innovative networks to achieve sustainable development. ● New understandings and relationships shift actors’ Intentions about their own actions in systems. ● The preceding three evol utions e nable actors to transform their Actions and, thereby, their situation. The Futures Wheel (Glenn 1972) is useful for visualizing the consequences of changes within a system, which can contribute to systems-level change (see Figure 9). The sources ofunintended consequences include ignorance, errors, and short-termism (Merton 1936). Using the Futures Wheel with the Stakeholder Analysis Matrix can facilitate holistic thinking for VCM Climate Foresight: Transforming the Voluntary Carbon Markets, by Roger Spitz & James Balzer 20 ©Disruptive Futures Institute, March 2025