Climate Foresight 2025

participants, leading to transformative solutions. Some emergent VCM actors, including Sylvera and LuxCS, are beginning to build on these principles to authenticate carbon offsets and credits. Both the Futures Wheel and Stakeholder Analysis Matrix are applied to the LuxCS case study later in this article. Figure 9 - Futures Wheel, as proposed by Glenn (1972) When considering stakeholders and systems, we must also emphasize the associated dangers of technology. Tech nology c an support sustainable practices and systems-level solutions, but only with appropriate safeguards (see Kahane 2018) and appropriate incentive structures as proposed by Meadows (1999). 4. Virtuous Inflection Points Innovations, especially in climate technology, often go unnoticed or underappreciated until they reach a key “inflection point” in their capabilities (Diamandis and Kotler 2012, 21). In the carbon credit discourse, innovations in verifica tion a nd democratization have been slow, but are beginning to emerge in a disruptive manner. Climate Foresight: Transforming the Voluntary Carbon Markets, by Roger Spitz & James Balzer 21 © Disruptive Futures Institute, March 2025