Global Cooperation Barometer 2025
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Pillar 5
The world’s collective security system is under
severe pressure from geopolitical divides, with
actors unable to prevent or end conflict. Levels
of conflict and attendant humanitarian crises
have increased to record levels in the past year.
The peace and security pillar examines the impact
of global cooperation in preventing and resolving
conflicts. The focus is on the prevention of death
and ameliorating the long-term negative implications
of conflict through commitment to multilateral
peacekeeping operations and international
stabilization efforts.
This pillar has deteriorated for the past seven years
and continued its trajectory in 2023. All metrics in
this pillar remain below their pre-pandemic averages
(below the black line in Figure 13). The decline
in this pillar had the largest impact on the overall
barometer results.Multilateral institutions that were created to prevent
and resolve conflicts have largely been unable to do
so in recent years. The result has been a continued
increase in conflicts in 2023, with the continued
deterioration of security, including but not limited
to the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine and Sudan,
and a significant increase in the number of forcibly
displaced people, estimated at more than 118 million
in 2023 and over 122 million as of 2024.48
Actions by the UN, such as new or augmented
peacekeeping missions or resolutions from the UN
Security Council, have been largely confined to
humanitarian assistance rather than peace-making.49
Notably, the Security Council has not mandated a
new peacekeeping operation since 2014. Instead,
there has been a shift towards regionally led peace
operations. Recent analysis by the International
Peace Institute found that cooperative actions in
peace and security decreased the most among Peace and security
Peace and security trends FIGURE 12
2012-20 2020-22 2022-23Improvement in: 3/6 2012-20 1/6 2020-22 2/6 2022-23-20 20 40 00.650.700.750.800.850.901.001.10
1.05
0.95
0.60
2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022Escalating conflicts have continued to drag on overall global cooperation
Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) %
Peace and security index
Fatalities from conflicts*,**
Significant cyber incidents*,**
Forcibly displaced people*,**
Conflicts*
Ratio of mulitateral peacekeeping
operations-to-conflicts
Ratio of UNSC resolutions-to-conflicts
*Metrics were reflected given negative connotation.
**Outcome metrics.
Note: Fatalities from conflicts is a lagging indicator.
Sources: United Nations High Commission on Refugees
(UNHCR), UPPSALA, Center for Strategic and International
Studies (CSIS), Stockholm International Peace Research
Institute (SIPRI), United Nations Security Council (UNSC),
McKinsey & Company analysis.
The Global Cooperation Barometer 2025 Second Edition
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