The Global Cooperation Barometer 2026
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Global cooperation declined sharply, as
conflicts escalated in many parts of the world.
The peace and security pillar examines the impact
of global cooperation in preventing and resolving
conflicts. The focus is on preventing death and
ameliorating the long-term negative implications
of conflict through the commitment to multilateral
peacekeeping operations and international
stabilization efforts. The barometer shows peace and security cooperation
is under the greatest strain of all five pillars, with
almost every metric in 2024 below pre-pandemic
levels (Figure 12). The decline of this pillar since the
late 2010s reflects an intensification of conflict and
attendant harm to individuals. Global multilateralism
has struggled in its role as peacekeeper, although
regional formats of cooperation have picked up the
mantle in some cases.
0.600.650.700.750.800.850.900.951.001.051.10
2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024Compound annual growth rate (CAGR), %
Peace and security index
Fatalities from conflicts1*
Forcibly displaced people1*
Conflicts1
Ratio of multilateral peacekeeping
operations-to-conflicts
Significant cyber incidents1*
Ratio of UN Security Council (UNSC)
resolutions-to-conflicts
-25 -5 0 5 -10 10 -15 -20
2012–20 2020–23 2023–24Peace and security eroded with declines across most metrics FIGURE 12
1. Metrics were inverted given negative connotation;
*outcome metrics.
Note: Fatalities from conflicts, conflicts are lagging metrics.
Sources: United Nations High Commission on Refugees
(UNHCR); UPPSALA; Center for Strategic and International
Studies (CSIS); Stockholm International Peace Research
Institute (SIPRI); United Nations Security Council (UNSC);
McKinsey & Company analysis.Pillar 5 Peace and security
In 2024, the number of conflicts continued to
increase,59 marked by, among others, the ongoing
Russia–Ukraine conflict, the Israel–Hamas war
in Gaza, hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah,
intensified fighting in eastern Democratic Republic
of Congo and civil wars in Sudan and Myanmar.
Reported battle-related deaths stayed near 2023
levels, with the Russia–Ukraine conflict making up over 40% of the total. The number of forcibly
displaced people likewise continued its growth,
reaching a record 123 million.60 The war in Sudan
alone displaced approximately 11.5 million people.61
Beyond the kinetic sphere of conflict, other
dimensions also worsened. Cyberattacks
intensified, with incidents surging across Asia,62
The Global Cooperation Barometer 2026
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