The Strategic Role of Telecom Providers Across the AI Value Chain 2026
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1Industry narrative
and the AI opportunity
AI and geopolitics are reshaping the tech
architecture, providing growth opportunities
for telecom providers.
As artificial intelligence (AI) redefines the digital
landscape, communication service providers
(CSPs)/telecommunications companies (telcos) are
exploring new strategies to invest in and harness AI
infrastructure to remain competitive. AI is seen not
just as a technological breakthrough, but also as an
opportunity to redefine CSPs’ relevance in the next
era of the digital economy.
Over the past three decades, CSPs have enabled
the infrastructure on which today’s digital platforms,
content ecosystems and cloud services run.
Despite this foundational contribution, they have
struggled to capture commensurate value. Digital
platform players have built business models
directly on top of telco networks, allowing them to
generate massive value by monetizing customers
more effectively and driving commerce. Their
consumption-based pricing structures have enabled stronger pricing power and significantly
higher returns. Meanwhile, many CSPs
continue to operate with all-you-can-eat pricing
models in their consumer businesses and with
underdeveloped enterprise offerings, which has
constrained value capture as digital ecosystems
have evolved.
Today, these structural issues remain visible in the
industry’s performance. While regional differences
exist, global communications revenue is forecast to
grow just 2.3% through 2026 while margins remain
flat, with global earnings before interest, taxes,
depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) holding at
approximately 33%. Post-tax return on invested
capital (ROIC) sits at approximately 8%, far below
digital platforms’ approximate 27% in 2025, and
continued capital intensity constrains investment
capacity and innovation.1 8%
post-tax ROIC,
far below digital
platforms’ approximate
27% in 2025.
The Strategic Role of Telecom Providers across the AI Value Chain
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