Deutsche Bank El Addendum -II: Election simulations HOP 410 22 21 40 24 40 ci. 25 40 •7 M 42 2.5 44 27 44 20 .45 24 45 AMP 44 N OP AMP 44 141.1 43 30 Mil IMO 4) •3 34 •2 • I 34 •I 40 40 30 34 30 3.5 24 7 7 50 40 46 •7 44 AMP 44 MC .4) 42 41 30 37 Si SO 49 40 47 40 45 AMP 44 1%) .12 •1 40 39 30 37 HOP Ns MIm 20% •046 elan 4.4146 51 50 40 47 414 48 AMP 44 •3 41 • nil 110 .45 185 147 51 21 50 22 40 23 40 47 24 4.1 77 OP 443. 44 20 I%) OW 43 20 42 50 •1 3s 40 32 31 24 18 19 21 22 47 23 24 26 CHP AMP 44 20 104) ON 46 47 •2 41 40 30 37 2.4 20 31 52 It 7 Ito 40 0 20 •7 20 27 45 23 OP AMP 24 P01 (0) 42 41 36==0 HOP 4% MIS' 10.05 Asp CUP Mir.19 20 25 045 27 06) 24 24 so >I 32 33 21 22 23 24 CPIP ON 27 20 29 31 15 10 7 14 10 20 31 2 01P 3 MC •I SL • 24 14045 54% 142 7.3 IN. 1411 OS • 1 201 105 00 24 1/111 47 54 I 15 240 15 244 103 60 57 11 I. 338 1.14 68 58 111267 IV% 51 50 49 •7 44 44 Air 44 $61 • 27.5 110 • 443 4i Ni 147 .17 NS 154 I.* 247 102 NO ;On N 731. IT, 10 94 thr41140141 02 al al 44 11156 10% 1.0-47 10% 2 72 1 4e •• • 40 30 40 46 47 74 4% OIP AMP 44 20 MI ON 41 274 le :7 4: 270 50 74 4I 433 50 42 256 61 10 l• SA 12 1.1Hr Nee 24 21 22 23 4. 61 144 61 64 31 YI 76 05 Of 37 210 it) 6) 42. siCIP I 1 10 90 17 .10 14 • 4J 40 44 20 • 45 It 21 40 45 117 .1 45 ANS. 44 3 01P AN. 61 1%1 • 3 764 1.41. 97 50 4 HO MI5) 43 272 Nl 157 914 S8 /5 4 / 244 • I 240 114 100 62 45 414 40 761 142 99 30 :7 4.) 255 15 24, 144 141 SIA 31 11 415 la 236 154. f01 56 74 34 NO 37 220 102 100 SO 20 3? 231 11DP 10% 57 2171 1401P 2186 :IP MOO 00 40 47 • Amt. 44 r10. 41 24 114 112 • 307 122 IC 4 I NO In 113 4.1 244 134 IM • 242 13.0 31 734 I40 110 17 n4 244 117 isCH 10% amliwon enough N511 to tr.0• outrion. ecm.1.0.(a141 on-Nes A. MP. an enough meal • Ire an ale pale rule Dui ria4 rot Cen1111771.0441 Crtangs ARP 411.1041 0440071 Veral • 107 • wangle pally rule 30 se 56 56 54 14 51 50 10 17 8 47 19 40 70 44 2$ OP AMP 44 22 MO 1%) •3 4 CC 23 in. tr 24 as▪ no 441 03 25 .40 844 CI IN 01 31 30 244 IN 116 1/1. N 256 IN 114 ID 37 226 42 144 144 HOP 1146 11 • 0I Ile 02 142 03 lois .5.4 41 40' 01 171 wl .404.11.16 MHO '0% .7.411 361 •7 •0 46 AMP 44 0161 4) 2e) 42 NO •1 2.64 •0 257 30 244 30 31) 37 4141 17 51 10 50 10 •0 20 48 47 27 40 45 .r54: AMP 44 01 PIN 4) 274 02 :5 •2 306 ea •1 Ns) 03 40 250 tll 30 no 0> 311 274 62 II 37 735 134 70 144 09 147 44 15) 04 162 07 tea 00 26 00 HOP 1.46 524 74 13.4 115 ea 142 01 147 712 1S? /14 162 w2 101 12% 11P ION 10 1 20 21 23 5 24 25 01P 74 >A MAI 75 77 71 20 71 24 72 30 7I 21 7. )2 51 14 60 1O 44 14 4.4 47 I* 40 10 4.3 20 .541a AMP 44 2I 01P 120 07 OI 3 04) 1%) 43 270 113 07 70 22 I%) IN 1.4 M 47 400 II a 44 70 71 I34 101 05 41 214 144 44 45 44 I 14 101 00 •0 250 141 100 Pe /5 142 101 42 -.7 30 746 155 94 70 20 144 101 GI :a )0 340 IC 00 70 37 700 104 02 SO 37 231 543 100 71 2c. HOP 11% INIHP 20% >7 78 51 4 50 0 0 10 40 I? •7 44 10 45 74 041. AAP 44 21 ON (%I 43 4n 33 •2 Al 33 2.1 25 27 105 IPl 41 250 114 II 0 243 122 lie >4 4.41 170 nJ IS 232 133 116 37 420 IM I'S HOP 12% Am. non 4.10447.14.4110 110 • eonsatutiOnal 40.4.0.00461s I 4.04wenOwn 4 10 17 18 19 007 00 20 8541 Oa 21 00 22 IN 23 in 24 4.5 >4 • Source: Deutsche Bank Note: Votes for 'Other parties' ere assumed at 5% uniformly across al scenarios considered above. Hence, seat distribution is based on 95% of votes, and assumed to be &Inhaled only among AKP. CHP. MHP, and HDP (ie. no independent MPs). This is for illustrative purposes only and prone to estimation/uncertainty errors. Deutsche Bank Deutsche Bank Research CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) CONFIDENTIAL 41 DB-SDNY-0070044 SDNY_GM_002 16228 EFTA01375011