Global Economy
Global Economy
Major U.S. Election Topics
Making History?
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0 I 1 1 44-52 52-60 60-68 68-76 76-80 80-88 t 88-92 92-00 00-08 08-16 -0
- If a Democrat becomes the next U.S. President, it
would be only the second time since the end of
WWII that one party has held the White House for
more than eight years.
Footnotes Data is 1944-2016 Presidential terms. Red is republican, blue is
democrat President
Source. Deutsche BankWealth Management
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management Elections Favorable for Equities
1936
1940
1944
2000
2004
2008
2012 1448
1952
1956
1960
197264
11996897
1976
1980 Recess( 1984
1988
1992
1996 Recessions
10% 20% 30% 40% -40% -30% -20%
S&P 500 Return 12 months Leading up to Presidential Election Day
Out of the 20 Presidential elections since 1936, the
S&P 500 has been positive 17 times (85%) in the
12 months leading up to the election.
On average, the S&P 500 is up 9% in the 12
months leading up to the Presidential election day.
Footnotes: Data reflects S&P 500 performance in the 12 months leading up to the
election cycles from 1936-2012.
Source: FactSel. Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
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CONFIDENTIAL — PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e)
CONFIDENTIAL DB-SDNY-0 120054
SDNY_GM_00266238
EFTA01459563