Decarbonizing Aviation Ground Operations 2025
Page 27 of 37 · WEF_Decarbonizing_Aviation_Ground_Operations_2025.pdf
Appendix 2:
Assumptions for
each scenario
Table 1 in the paper presents the general
assumptions that apply across all three
technologies. These include variables such as
average fleet size, range, utilization rate, expected
vehicle lifespan and discount rate. Table 2
below summarizes technology-specific cost and
performance assumptions, such as refuelling times, charging infrastructure requirements and battery
replacement cycles. The TCO model created
for this analysis is available on demand, and all
sources are described in detail (including all average
assumptions where sensitive data applies). This
model can be adapted for different regions and
operational contexts.
Baseline parameters by bus technology TABLE 2
Baseline parameters
Parameter Value CommentDiesel busesAverage bus price (€/bus) 259,000 Based on an average of six different bus models
Maintenance cost (€/km) 0.61 Average of three independent sources
Energy consumption (l/km) 0.34 Based on an average of seven bus models
Diesel price (€/l) 1.67 Average retail price across 10 European countries
Lifespan (years) 15 Various sources
Salvage value (% of purchase price) 15 -
Driver training cost (€) 0 No additional training required
Insurance cost (€) 0 Assumed to be self-insured
Registration cost (€) 0 Assumed that no registration fees apply
Government subsidy (% of purchase price) 0 No subsides for diesel busesElectric and retrofitted busesAverage bus price (€/bus)* 550,000 (electric)
retrofitted bus,
approximately 50% of
new electric bus Average of five electric buses
Capex learning rate (%/year) 3.9 Reduction expected as battery technology scales
Maintenance cost (€/km)* 0.37/0.40 Electric/retrofitted, excluding battery costs
Energy consumption (kWh/km) 1.15 Average of seven different buses
Electricity price (€/kWh) 0.12 Validated with stakeholders
Battery replacement frequency (years) 9 Validated with stakeholders
Battery replacement cost (% of new e-bus) 35 Based on multiple sources and stakeholder input
Battery size (kWh) 386 Average of six different buses
Bus-to-charger ratio 2:1 One charger for two buses; validated with
stakeholders
Bus output power (kW) 150 Two sockets per charger; one socket per bus
Charger efficiency (%) 95 Typical market average; input power reduced to 143 kW
Decarbonizing Aviation Ground Operations: Alternative Bus Technologies
27
Ask AI what this page says about a topic: