Fuelling the Future 2026
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22. International Energy Agency (IEA). (2025). Delivering Sustainable Fuels: Pathways to 2035. https://www.iea.org/reports/
delivering-sustainable-fuels.
23. International Energy Agency (IEA). (2025). IEA workshop on sustainable fuels highlights need for global ambition to
support uptake. https://www.iea.org/news/iea-workshop-on-sustainable-fuels-highlights-need-for-global-ambition-to-
support-uptake.
24. International Energy Agency (2025). Delivering Sustainable Fuels: Pathways to 2035. https://www.iea.org/reports/
delivering-sustainable-fuels.
25. California Air Resources Board (2025). Low Carbon Fuel Standard. https://ww2.arb.ca.gov/our-work/programs/low-
carbon-fuel-standard.
26. Environmental Protection Agency, US Government (2025). Renewable Fuel Standard. https://www.epa.gov/renewable-
fuel-standard.
27. European Commission (n.d.). ReFuelEU aviation. https://transport.ec.europa.eu/transport-modes/air/environment/
refueleu-aviation_en.
28. European Commission (n.d.). Decarbonising maritime transport – FuelEU Maritime. https://transport.ec.europa.eu/
transport-modes/maritime/decarbonising-maritime-transport-fueleu-maritime_en .
29. European Commission. (2025). Commission takes action for clean and competitive automotive sector. https://ec.europa.
eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_25_3051.
30. Argus Media. (2025). IMO meeting fails to adopt GHG pricing. https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-insights/
latest-market-news/2743677-imo-meeting-fails-to-adopt-ghg-pricing.
31. Bain & Company analysis assessing feasible clean fuel demand growth by sector based on current trajectory and
published scenarios from:
– IRENA planned energy scenario (PES) in: International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA). (2024). World Energy
Transitions Outlook 2024. https://www.irena.org/Publications/2024/Nov/World-Energy-Transitions-Outlook-2024.
– IEA stated policies scenario (STEPS) in: International Energy Agency (IEA). (2024). World Energy Outlook 2024.
https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2024.
– DNV. (2025). Global Energy Transition Outlook 2025. https://www.dnv.com/energy-transition-outlook/.
– Bain & Company INTERSECT current trajectory and accelerated decarbonisation scenarios.
32. International Energy Agency (IEA). (2025). Delivering Sustainable Fuels: Pathways to 2035. https://www.iea.org/reports/
delivering-sustainable-fuels.
33. COP30 Brasil Amazônia Belém 2025. (2025). COP30 Evening Summary – November 14. https://cop30.br/en/news-
about-cop30/cop30-evening-summary-november-14.
34. Bain & Company analysis assessing feasible clean fuel demand growth by sector based on current trajectory and
published scenarios from:
– IRENA planned energy scenario (PES) in: International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA). (2024). World Energy
Transitions Outlook 2024. https://www.irena.org/Publications/2024/Nov/World-Energy-Transitions-Outlook-2024.
– IEA stated policies scenario (STEPS) in: International Energy Agency (IEA). (2024). World Energy Outlook 2024.
https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-outlook-2024.
– DNV. (2025). Global Energy Transition Outlook 2025. https://www.dnv.com/energy-transition-outlook/.
– Bain & Company INTERSECT current trajectory and accelerated decarbonisation scenarios.
35. HVO is hydrotreated vegetable oil – a type of renewable diesel. It is produced from oils and fats using a process involving
hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids (HEFA).
36. Commercial maturity based on technology readiness level of 9 and established supply chains; wide usage based on
>250,000 barrels per day production globally.
37. World Bioenergy Association. (2024). Global Bioenergy Statistics Report 2024: Summary. https://www.worldbioenergy.
org/uploads/241023%20GBS%20Report%20Short%20Version.pdf.
38. Bain & Company analysis, using:
– Transport & Environment. (2024). UCO (Unknown Cooking Oil): High hopes on limited and suspicious materials.
https://www.transportenvironment.org/articles/uco-unknown-cooking-oil-high-hopes-on-limited-and-suspicious-
materials.
– International Energy Agency (IEA). (2022). Renewables 2022. https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2022.
39. Bain & Company analysis, forecasting likely availability for biofuel production after subtracting demand from other
applications and conversion losses.
40. World Economic Forum. (2024). White hydrogen: 5 critical questions answered. https://www.weforum.org/
stories/2024/08/white-hydrogen-5-critical-questions-answered/.
41. International Civil Aviation Organization. (2022). Report On The Feasibility Of A Long-Term Aspirational Goal (LTAG) For
International Civil Aviation CO2 Emission Reductions: Appendix M5 Fuels Sub Group Report. https://www.icao.int/sites/
default/files/sp-files/environmental-protection/LTAG/Documents/ICAO_LTAG_Report_AppendixM5.pdf.
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