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Culture (25)

Polymarket Real-Money Prediction Markets 15 markets

Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?

Culture $2.0M
Yes 50% No 50% Yes 26%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main fee...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-04

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look on week 1?

Culture $1.3M
Yes 84% No 16% Yes 12%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look video gets in the first 168 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market ...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-03

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Culture $501K
Yes 20% No 80% Yes 20%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main f...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-08

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Politics $66.3M
Yes 4% No 96% Yes 1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively ...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Culture $65.5M
Yes 2% No 98%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market wil...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

Elon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?

Culture $111K
Yes 46% No 54% Yes 28%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main f...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-05

Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?

Culture $80K
Yes 16% No 84% Yes 16%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main ...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-11

Next James Bond actor?

Culture $598K
Yes 28% No 72% Yes 20%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market ...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

Who will Trump publicly praise in August?

Culture $272K
Yes 100% No 0% Yes 49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "N...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-08-31

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?

Culture $180K
Yes 14% No 86%

Lindsay Clancy has been charged by The Commonwealth of Massachusetts with three counts of murder for the death of her three children. You can read more about that here: https://media.wbur.org/wp/2023/...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Culture $219K
Yes 73% No 27% Yes 5%

This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this mar...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

Culture $114K
Yes 66% No 34% Yes 18%

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-01

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

Culture $19K
Yes 97% No 3% Yes 92%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will ...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-30

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Culture $17.3M
Yes 92% No 8% Yes 6%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once d...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?

Culture $14K
Yes 78% No 22% Yes 20%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast Gaming gets in the first 168 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 168 ho...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-05
Manifold Community Prediction Markets 10 markets

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

13.7M mana
Yes 26% No 74%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-01-02

Daily Coinflip

3K mana
Yes 50% No 50%
? View on Manifold Ends 2026-09-04

Will chess be solved by 2040?

2.0M mana
Yes 17% No 83%
? View on Manifold Ends 2040-01-01

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

59K mana
Yes 68% No 32%
? View on Manifold Ends 2040-08-20

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

287K mana
Yes 70% No 30%
? View on Manifold Ends 2039-12-31

Will Trump finish his second term?

1.7M mana
Yes 82% No 18%
? View on Manifold Ends 2029-01-22

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

617K mana
Yes 19% No 81%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-11-08

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

620K mana
Yes 16% No 84%
? View on Manifold Ends 2027-01-01

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

10.4M mana
Yes 96% No 4%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-07-19

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

175K mana
? View on Manifold Ends 2084-01-01

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