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Culture (25)

Polymarket Real-Money Prediction Markets 15 markets

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

Culture $1.4M
Yes 33% No 67% Yes 31%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main fee...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-20

Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?

Culture $369K
Yes 49% No 51% Yes 46%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 17 12:00 PM ET to October 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main fee...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-19

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?

Culture $400K
Yes 57% No 43% Yes 41%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market ma...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-23

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Culture $450K
Yes 18% No 82% Yes 18%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main fee...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-23

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Politics $74.1M
Yes 5% No 95% Yes 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively ...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Culture $417K
Yes 50% No 50% Yes 50%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 20...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-07-01

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Culture $109K
Yes 97% No 3% Yes 94%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 20...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-03-15

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

Culture $78K
Yes 12% No 88% Yes 11%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main fee...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-27

"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office

Culture $79K
Yes 82% No 18% Yes 18%

This market will resolve according to how much "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Offic...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-18

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Culture $66.6M
Yes 1% No 99%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market wil...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?

Culture $15K
Yes 40% No 60% Yes 34%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main fee...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-21

Next James Bond actor?

Culture $1.5M
Yes 39% No 61% Yes 27%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market ...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?

Culture $10K
Yes 86% No 14% Yes 78%

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Park City, Kansas on October 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-park-city-kansas-president-do...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-19

#2 Spotify Song 2026

Culture $120K
Yes 79% No 21% Yes 50%

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streame...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-02-01

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Culture $36K
Yes 99% No 1% Yes 2%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-01
Manifold Community Prediction Markets 10 markets

Will Trump finish his second term?

2.0M mana
Yes 86% No 14%
? View on Manifold Ends 2029-01-22

Who will win the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa?

64K mana
? View on Manifold Ends 2026-11-03

Daily Coinflip

5K mana
Yes 50% No 50%
? View on Manifold Ends 2026-10-19

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

14.5M mana
Yes 46% No 54%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-01-02

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

59K mana
Yes 68% No 32%
? View on Manifold Ends 2040-08-20

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

634K mana
Yes 21% No 79%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-11-08

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

774K mana
Yes 20% No 80%
? View on Manifold Ends 2027-01-01

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

830K mana
Yes 85% No 15%
? View on Manifold Ends 2027-02-28

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

10.5M mana
Yes 96% No 4%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-07-19

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

176K mana
? View on Manifold Ends 2084-01-01

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