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Culture (25)

Polymarket Real-Money Prediction Markets 15 markets

Eurovision Winner 2026

Culture $110.2M
Yes 38% No 62% Yes 11%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competitio...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-05-16

Elon Musk # tweets April 21 - April 28, 2026?

Culture $3.6M
Yes 24% No 76% Yes 22%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed po...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-04-28

Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Politics $1.3M
Yes 17% No 83% Yes 16%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-05-01

Elon Musk # tweets April 23 - April 25, 2026?

Culture $750K
Yes 72% No 28% Yes 24%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 23 12:00 PM ET to April 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed po...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-04-25

Elon Musk musk # tweets in April 2026?

Culture $11.6M
Yes 27% No 73% Yes 26%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of April 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and repo...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-05-01

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Culture $28.5M
Yes 20% No 80% Yes 16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively ...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Culture $59.2M
Yes 4% No 96%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market wil...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

"Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office

Culture $277K
Yes 98% No 2% Yes 1%

This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office”...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-04-27

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?

Culture $442K
Yes 98% No 2% Yes 2%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If MrBeast does not post a...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-05-31

Elon Musk # tweets April 25 - April 27, 2026?

Culture $81K
Yes 46% No 54% Yes 36%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 25 12:00 PM ET to April 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed po...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-04-27

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

Politics $299K
Yes 50% No 50% Yes 48%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner betw...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-04-30

Top Spotify artist in April?

Culture $367K
Yes 93% No 7% Yes 5%

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on April 30, 2026, 12PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each art...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-04-30

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Culture $4.0M
Yes 62% No 38% Yes 24%

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once d...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Culture $1.5M
Yes 32% No 68% Yes 26%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in t...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-05-16

Weed rescheduled by...?

Politics $708K
Yes 44% No 56% Yes 8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/dru...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-03-31
Manifold Community Prediction Markets 10 markets

[READ DESCRIPTION] Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket]

464K mana
Yes 51% No 49%
? View on Manifold Ends 2026-08-05

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

12.0M mana
Yes 29% No 71%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-01-02

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

171K mana
? View on Manifold Ends 2084-01-01

Daily Coinflip

1K mana
Yes 51% No 49%
? View on Manifold Ends 2026-04-26

Daily Coinflip

246 mana
Yes 49% No 51%
? View on Manifold Ends 2026-04-25

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

512K mana
Yes 61% No 39%
? View on Manifold Ends 2030-03-18

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

546K mana
Yes 20% No 80%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-11-08

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

57K mana
Yes 67% No 33%
? View on Manifold Ends 2040-08-20

Will Trump finish his second term?

1.5M mana
Yes 78% No 22%
? View on Manifold Ends 2029-01-22

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?

866K mana
Yes 83% No 17%
? View on Manifold Ends 2029-01-01

Markets by State

Click a state to see prediction markets for races in that state.

AK Alaska 2 markets AL Alabama 2 markets AR Arkansas 1 markets AZ Arizona 4 markets CA California 4 markets CO Colorado 6 markets CT Connecticut 1 markets DE Delaware 1 markets FL Florida 4 markets GA Georgia 5 markets IA Iowa 5 markets ID Idaho 1 markets IL Illinois 1 markets IN Indiana 2 markets KS Kansas 2 markets KY Kentucky 3 markets LA Louisiana 2 markets MA Massachusetts 3 markets MD Maryland 1 markets ME Maine 6 markets MI Michigan 7 markets MN Minnesota 7 markets MO Missouri 1 markets MS Mississippi 1 markets MT Montana 1 markets NC North Carolina 2 markets NE Nebraska 3 markets NH New Hampshire 3 markets NJ New Jersey 1 markets NM New Mexico 4 markets NV Nevada 1 markets NY New York 5 markets OH Ohio 4 markets OK Oklahoma 2 markets OR Oregon 2 markets PA Pennsylvania 3 markets RI Rhode Island 3 markets SC South Carolina 3 markets SD South Dakota 2 markets TN Tennessee 2 markets TX Texas 9 markets VA Virginia 2 markets VT Vermont 1 markets WA Washington 2 markets WI Wisconsin 3 markets WV West Virginia 1 markets WY Wyoming 2 markets