Prediction Markets
Live Odds & Forecasts from Polymarket
Politics (15)
← Back to all markets
California Prediction Markets
Polymarket
Real-Money Prediction Markets
1 markets
California Governor Election Winner
Politics
$13.5M
Yes
42%
No
58%
Yes
28%
California Governor Election Winner
Politics $13.5M
Yes
42%
No
58%
Yes
28%
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed b...
Manifold
Community Prediction Markets
10 markets
SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot
24K mana
Yes
71%
No
29%
SEIU "billionaire tax" qualifies for the November 2026 California ballot
24K mana
Yes
71%
No
29%
Which 2026 California ballot measures will pass?
5K mana
Which 2026 California ballot measures will pass?
5K mana
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
135K mana
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District
135K mana
Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
13K mana
Yes
58%
No
42%
Will The California Billionaire Wealth Tax pass if it is on the ballot in 2026?
13K mana
Yes
58%
No
42%
Will California be in a drought at end of August 2026?
793 mana
Yes
42%
No
58%
Will California be in a drought at end of August 2026?
793 mana
Yes
42%
No
58%
Will the University of California consider SAT or ACT scores in admissions by the end of 2026?
2K mana
Yes
42%
No
58%
Will the University of California consider SAT or ACT scores in admissions by the end of 2026?
2K mana
Yes
42%
No
58%
Will California authorize more housing units in 2027 than 2026?
456 mana
Yes
68%
No
32%
Will California authorize more housing units in 2027 than 2026?
456 mana
Yes
68%
No
32%
If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?
683 mana
Yes
72%
No
28%
If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?
683 mana
Yes
72%
No
28%
Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026?
2K mana
Yes
27%
No
73%
Will California legalise sports betting by the end of 2026?
2K mana
Yes
27%
No
73%
Will California authorize more housing units in 2026 than 2025?
3K mana
Yes
84%
No
16%
Will California authorize more housing units in 2026 than 2025?
3K mana
Yes
84%
No
16%
PredictIt
US Political Markets
4 markets
Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California?
Politics
Tom Steyer
41%
Xavier Becerra
33%
Matt Mahan
14%
Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California?
Politics
Tom Steyer
41%
Xavier Becerra
33%
Matt Mahan
14%
What will be the matchup in the 2026 California governor's election?
Politics
Becerra v. Steyer
50%
Steyer v. Hilton
44%
Becerra v. Hilton
6%
What will be the matchup in the 2026 California governor's election?
Politics
Becerra v. Steyer
50%
Steyer v. Hilton
44%
Becerra v. Hilton
6%
Who will place first in the California Governor's primary?
Politics
Steve Hilton
42%
Tom Steyer
32%
Xavier Becerra
14%
Who will place first in the California Governor's primary?
Politics
Steve Hilton
42%
Tom Steyer
32%
Xavier Becerra
14%
Which party will win the 2026 House special election in California's 1st CD?
Politics
Republican
93%
Democratic
12%
Which party will win the 2026 House special election in California's 1st CD?
Politics
Republican
93%
Democratic
12%