Prediction Markets

Live Odds & Forecasts from Polymarket

All Politics Global Conflicts Crypto Finance Tech Culture Sports

Tech (25)

Polymarket Real-Money Prediction Markets 15 markets

Which company has the best AI model end of April?

Tech $18.0M

Yes 86% No 14% Yes 14%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leader...

Largest Company end of June?

Tech $6.4M

Yes 92% No 8% Yes 4%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Largest Company end of April?

Tech $13.3M

Yes 100% No 0% Yes 0%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Tech $4.3M

Yes 48% No 52% Yes 28%

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Lea...

Best Chinese AI Company end of April?

Tech $300K

Yes 90% No 10% Yes 5%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score among primarily Chinese companies, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai...

Which company has the best Math AI model end of April?

Tech $134K

Yes 61% No 39% Yes 34%

Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)

Tech $1.6M

Yes 83% No 17% Yes 14%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the tabl...

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Tech $410K

Yes 56% No 44% Yes 23%

Which company has the third best AI model end of April?

Tech $793K

Yes 52% No 48% Yes 34%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "...

Top AI model on April 24? (Style Control On)

Tech $50K

Yes 100% No 0% Yes 0%

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboa...

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Finance $2.0M

Yes 73% No 27% Yes 10%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

2nd largest company end of April?

Finance $1.7M

Yes 86% No 14% Yes 12%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reportin...

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Tech $5.2M

Yes 66% No 34% Yes 26%

This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement from SpaceX that they wil...

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

Tech $813K

Yes 48% No 52% Yes 16%

This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve t...

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Tech $1.5M

Yes 34% No 66% Yes 8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Oth...

Manifold Community Prediction Markets 10 markets

[READ DESCRIPTION] Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? [Polymarket]

464K mana

Yes 51% No 49%

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

12.0M mana

Yes 29% No 71%

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

171K mana

Daily Coinflip

1K mana

Yes 51% No 49%

Daily Coinflip

246 mana

Yes 49% No 51%

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

512K mana

Yes 61% No 39%

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

546K mana

Yes 20% No 80%

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

57K mana

Yes 67% No 33%

Will Trump finish his second term?

1.5M mana

Yes 78% No 22%

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion by Jan 1st, 2029?

866K mana

Yes 83% No 17%

Markets by State

Click a state to see prediction markets for races in that state.

AK Alaska 2 markets AL Alabama 2 markets AR Arkansas 1 markets AZ Arizona 4 markets CA California 4 markets CO Colorado 6 markets CT Connecticut 1 markets DE Delaware 1 markets FL Florida 4 markets GA Georgia 5 markets IA Iowa 5 markets ID Idaho 1 markets IL Illinois 1 markets IN Indiana 2 markets KS Kansas 2 markets KY Kentucky 3 markets LA Louisiana 2 markets MA Massachusetts 3 markets MD Maryland 1 markets ME Maine 6 markets MI Michigan 7 markets MN Minnesota 7 markets MO Missouri 1 markets MS Mississippi 1 markets MT Montana 1 markets NC North Carolina 2 markets NE Nebraska 3 markets NH New Hampshire 3 markets NJ New Jersey 1 markets NM New Mexico 4 markets NV Nevada 1 markets NY New York 5 markets OH Ohio 4 markets OK Oklahoma 2 markets OR Oregon 2 markets PA Pennsylvania 3 markets RI Rhode Island 3 markets SC South Carolina 3 markets SD South Dakota 2 markets TN Tennessee 2 markets TX Texas 9 markets VA Virginia 2 markets VT Vermont 1 markets WA Washington 2 markets WI Wisconsin 3 markets WV West Virginia 1 markets WY Wyoming 2 markets