Prediction Markets

Live Odds & Forecasts from Polymarket

Finance (25)

Polymarket Real-Money Prediction Markets 15 markets

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

Finance $2.9M
Yes 74% No 26% Yes 73%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

Anthropic IPO by __?

Finance $5.0M
Yes 74% No 26% Yes 70%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." I...

Largest Company end of October 2026?

Tech $558K
Yes 79% No 21% Yes 50%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Finance $54.5M
Yes 97% No 3% Yes 1%

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FO...

AI bubble burst by...?

Tech $3.1M
Yes 16% No 84% Yes 8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the AI industry experiences an industry downturn by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market,...

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Finance $515K
Yes 45% No 55% Yes 25%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No I...

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Finance $5.8M
Yes 84% No 16% Yes 68%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 3...

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Global Conflicts $5.0M
Yes 24% No 76% Yes 10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) future...

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Finance $1.9M
Yes 26% No 74% Yes 19%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "N...

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Finance $6.6M
Yes 63% No 37% Yes 35%

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve ...

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

Finance $155K
Yes 87% No 13% Yes 71%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

Finance $169K
Yes 43% No 57% Yes 33%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of Anthropic at its initial public offering (IPO) price. Anthropic refers to Anthropic PBC or the corporate successor or parent holdi...

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

Finance $403K
Yes 66% No 34% Yes 17%

This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on whi...

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?

Finance $44K
Yes 82% No 18% Yes 63%

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in October 2026?

NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?

Finance $132K
Yes 10% No 90%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market...

Manifold Community Prediction Markets 10 markets

Will Trump finish his second term?

2.0M mana
Yes 86% No 14%

Who will win the 2026 United States Senate election in Iowa?

64K mana

Daily Coinflip

5K mana
Yes 50% No 50%

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

14.5M mana
Yes 46% No 54%

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

59K mana
Yes 68% No 32%

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

634K mana
Yes 21% No 79%

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

774K mana
Yes 20% No 80%

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

830K mana
Yes 85% No 15%

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

10.5M mana
Yes 96% No 4%

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

176K mana