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Finance (25)

Polymarket Real-Money Prediction Markets 15 markets

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

Finance $920K
Yes 70% No 30% Yes 60%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-01

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Global Conflicts $3.2M
Yes 11% No 89% Yes 2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) future...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

Largest Company end of September?

Tech $1.1M
Yes 92% No 8% Yes 50%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-30

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Finance $50.6M
Yes 89% No 11% Yes 8%

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FO...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

Largest Company end of December 2026?

Finance $6.6M
Yes 78% No 22% Yes 14%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-12-31

Anthropic IPO by __?

Finance $2.3M
Yes 96% No 4% Yes 90%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." I...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-07-01

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Finance $2.1M
Yes 92% No 8% Yes 5%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No I...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

Fed rate hike by...?

Finance $2.7M
Yes 64% No 36% Yes 50%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-29

IPOs before 2027?

Finance $7.1M
Yes 94% No 6% Yes 18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news so...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of August 31 2026?

Finance $47K
Yes 16% No 84% Yes 2%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of August 31 2026?

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-04

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 3?

Finance $15K
Up 63% Down 37%

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Thursday, September 3, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the mos...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-03

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of August 31 2026?

Finance $50K
Yes 86% No 14% Yes 84%

What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of August 31 2026?

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-04

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

Finance $353K
Yes 32% No 68% Yes 24%

This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO...

? View on Polymarket Ends 2027-01-01

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 31 2026?

Finance $29K
Yes 88% No 12% Yes 42%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 31 2026?

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-09-04

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?

Finance $45K
Yes 82% No 18% Yes 60%

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in September 2026?

? View on Polymarket Ends 2026-10-01
Manifold Community Prediction Markets 10 markets

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

13.7M mana
Yes 26% No 74%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-01-02

Daily Coinflip

3K mana
Yes 50% No 50%
? View on Manifold Ends 2026-09-04

Will chess be solved by 2040?

2.0M mana
Yes 17% No 83%
? View on Manifold Ends 2040-01-01

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

59K mana
Yes 68% No 32%
? View on Manifold Ends 2040-08-20

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

287K mana
Yes 70% No 30%
? View on Manifold Ends 2039-12-31

Will Trump finish his second term?

1.7M mana
Yes 82% No 18%
? View on Manifold Ends 2029-01-22

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

617K mana
Yes 19% No 81%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-11-08

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

620K mana
Yes 16% No 84%
? View on Manifold Ends 2027-01-01

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

10.4M mana
Yes 96% No 4%
? View on Manifold Ends 2028-07-19

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

175K mana
? View on Manifold Ends 2084-01-01