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Crypto (25)

Polymarket Real-Money Prediction Markets 15 markets

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

Crypto $62.5M

Yes 84% No 16% Yes 64%

What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?

Bitcoin above ___ on September 3?

Crypto $1.0M

Yes 100% No 0% Yes 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi...

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

Crypto $1.3M

Yes 74% No 26% Yes 68%

What price will Bitcoin hit in September?

Bitcoin above ___ on September 4?

Crypto $683K

Yes 100% No 0% Yes 99%

What price will Bitcoin hit August 31-September 6?

Crypto $703K

Yes 40% No 60% Yes 34%

What price will Bitcoin hit August 31-September 6?

What price will Ethereum hit in September?

Crypto $445K

Yes 74% No 26% Yes 74%

What price will Ethereum hit in September?

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

Crypto $13.2M

Yes 75% No 25% Yes 64%

What price will Ethereum hit before 2027?

Ethereum above ___ on September 3?

Crypto $251K

Yes 100% No 0% Yes 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specifi...

Bitcoin above ___ on September 6?

Crypto $183K

Yes 99% No 1% Yes 98%

Bitcoin above ___ on September 5?

Crypto $204K

Yes 100% No 0% Yes 99%

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Crypto $11.7M

Yes 16% No 84%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Othe...

What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6?

Crypto $186K

Yes 30% No 70% Yes 24%

What price will Ethereum hit August 31-September 6?

Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?

Crypto $56K

Up 80% Down 20%

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 3 '26 12:...

Ethereum above ___ on September 4?

Crypto $81K

Yes 99% No 1% Yes 99%

What price will Bitcoin hit on September 3?

Crypto $49K

Yes 44% No 56% Yes 28%

What price will Bitcoin hit on September 3?

Manifold Community Prediction Markets 10 markets

In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?

13.7M mana

Yes 26% No 74%

Daily Coinflip

3K mana

Yes 50% No 50%

Will chess be solved by 2040?

2.0M mana

Yes 17% No 83%

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

59K mana

Yes 68% No 32%

Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?

287K mana

Yes 70% No 30%

Will Trump finish his second term?

1.7M mana

Yes 82% No 18%

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

617K mana

Yes 19% No 81%

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

620K mana

Yes 16% No 84%

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?

10.4M mana

Yes 96% No 4%

How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?

175K mana