30 July 2013
30 July 2013
Exchange Rate Perspectives: FX and the Financial Transaction Tax
Central Bank Reserves Currency Composition Monitor
[Figure 1: Official FX. reserves have quadrupled reflecting Figure 2: Mature market (MM) reserves have grown only
primarily the growth of EM holdings modestly reflecting valuation & interest
12.000
10.000
b.000
4020
4000
2.400 UM) CM
—Toga FX Atteeve,
IVINFX 0.344644
GM FX Aaaeva 12.000
10.000
4000
4000
4000
2.000
O
1 89 2000 2002 2003 2005 2000 2008 2009 2011 2012
01 03 01 03 0% 03 01 03 01 03
Sowvafilla Con BEA al (Ate artes
IFigure 3: Many countries report the currency
composition of reserves to the IMF, which publishes
them in aggregate form
12.003
10000
ft 020
5.003
4.003 1150 On
—Tots rewrva Inebinfollt40122
Alocinpa Romero
•••••••.“.. 12.000
10 003
4000
5.024)
4.000
2.000 2000
0
1999 2000 2002 2003 2005 2006 2008 2009 2011 201
01 03 01 03 CI 03 el 03 Cl 03
Snot COASt W A O PX Iteseircil
[Figure 5: ...while about half of emerging markets
report the currency composition of their reserves
0000
5.200
4.000
2.000 USDOn
.114 Fit Roma,
0.14.4.cas Canes
—FM ilosta.4 4•444•4
— --
1999 20110 2002 20113 2005 2005 me 2009 2011 201
01 03 01 03 CI 03 01 03 01 03
Sam. COFER MU. CO FX INSWIlth 4000
6003
4000
2.040
0
Page 46 4000 USD On
J500 —Total WA Mown*
3000 Jain_ 146444•4
2600 men Ionia Mane •
2003 •
1503 •
1000
600
0 . .
1999 2000 2002 2003 2005 2006 2008 2009 2011 201
01 03 01 03 01 03 01 03 01 03
SEA OS Geier Mitten Rendre.
I:Figure 4: The advanced countries (MM) all report
the composition of reserves to the IMF...
4000
3.500
3.000
2.600
2.000
1000
1000
500
0
1999 2000 2002 2003 2005 2006 2008 2009 2011 2012
01 03 Cl 03 01 03 01 03 CI 03 4200
3500
3200
2500
2000
1600
1000
SOO
0
4060
3020
3.000
2.600
2.000
1.600
1000
603
0
Sam. cola MO. CO 0C Rearecn
Figure 6: The currency composition of (114 reporting
countries) total FX reserves: levels
4.000 USD an 4000
1 3.500 Wen 3.500
3000 f —Y44 3,030
2.500 4- Owes Pilot 2.500
00•110223•Poey 2,020 2000
1.500 1.500
LOX 1,200
6C0 603
0 0
2009 2011 2012 1 99 2000 2002 2003 2005 2008 2008
01 03 01 03 01 03 01 03 01 03
Sotto*, COOMME 0O FX Ansa.
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
CONFIDENTIAL - PURSUANT TO FED. R. CRIM. P. 6(e) DB-SDNY-0104702
CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00250886
EFTA01449337